Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$0.80 -6.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $29.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79 (-1.35%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510029
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (11)SEC (6)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE FLL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FLL SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (38% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 93.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$1.21-9.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$1.09-20.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
32
Grade E$0.87-8% Next Q
Current
29
Grade E$0.80-9.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FLL currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.55) and Max Pain ($0.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FLL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FLL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.94%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $0.80H $0.83L $0.75C $0.80VOL 269.8K
RES: $1.45SUP: $1.14SMA50: $1.55SMA200: $2.26
$3.55$2.79$2.03$1.27$0.51RES $1.45SUP $1.14$0.802026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #969 of 1011 ⚔️ CNTY vs FLL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLL vs. CNTY, GHG, MSC, PUSA)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) ranks #969 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #866 by equity capitalization ($29.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHG leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while GHG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 34.9% gross margin. GHG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FLL at 29/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLL ACTIVE
Full House Resorts Inc.
E 29/100 — 93.3% 0.6% -6.46% $29.3M Benchmark Subject
CNTY
Century Casinos Inc.
D 48/100 — — 26.2% -11.20% $17.7M /cnty-vs-fll →
GHG
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share
C 64/100 4.2x 34.9% 85.0% +2.52% $99.9M /ghg-vs-fll →
MSC
Studio City International Holdings Limited each representing four (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — 2.3% -0.63% $165.4M /msc-vs-fll →
PUSA
Powerus Corporation
D- 39/100 — — -22.8% +0.56% $305.6M /pusa-vs-fll →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000891482

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) reported GAAP revenue of $302.4M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $292.1M , and +25.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$40.2M, operating cash flow of $10.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.7M (+93.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLL closed FY2025 with $649.8M in total assets against $473.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.22, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $302.4M -$40.2M $10.0M -$2.7M $649.8M $473.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $292.1M -$40.7M $13.8M -$38.7M $673.3M $468.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $241.1M -$24.9M $22.3M $22.3M — —

3. FLL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Full House Resorts Inc. (NASDAQ: FLL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $0.80 (-6.46% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLL ranks #969 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLL compare to CNTY and GHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), FLL carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 93.3%, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, CNTY (Century Casinos Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 26.2%, cap $17.7M) and GHG (GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. each representing one Class A ordinary share) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 4.2x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $99.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHG leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while GHG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLL?

Per FLL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000891482), Full House Resorts Inc. generated $302.4M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), -$40.2M in net income, and -$2.7M in free cash flow against $649.8M in total assets and $473.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLL last traded at $0.80 (-6.46% on volume of 166,943 shares), positioning the stock -48.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.55) and -64.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.26). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $3.37, FLL sits at the 1.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.90).

FLL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FLL pay a dividend and is it safe?

Full House Resorts Inc. (FLL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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