MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why FGC Stock dropped -10.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.10 -10.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.99
FG Communities Holdings Inc. (FGC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 29/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $23.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.99 (-2.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (29/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (29/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FGC SCORES 29/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (34% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (28% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$6.20-2.3% Next Q
37
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$6.06-4.8% Next Q
34
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$5.77-11.6% Next Q
32
CurrentGrade E$5.10-9.8% Hist 90D α
29
Trajectory: E (37) → E (29)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FGC Turnaround Squeeze
While FGC currently carries a cautious 29/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.04) and Max Pain ($5.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.58.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FGC Stock dropped -10.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
FG Communities Holdings Inc. (FGC) dropped -10.53% to $5.10, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($4.18 – $18.65). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($4.18 – $18.65) with RSI-14 at 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live FGC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FGC)
- ✓Walkthrough of FGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.33%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $5.34H $5.34L $4.79C $5.10VOL 51.7K
RES: $8.35SUP: $5.44SMA50: $7.04SMA200: $7.28
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FGC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FGC)
Financials Rank #1076 of 1096
⚔️ PRHI vs FGC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FGC vs. PRHI, KG, OXBR, JRVR)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FG Communities Holdings Inc. (FGC) ranks #1076 by composite RQD confidence (29/100, grade E) and #1047 by equity capitalization ($23.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JRVR leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while KG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 36.4% ROIC and — gross margin. KG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with FGC at 29/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FGC
ACTIVE
FG Communities Holdings Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -10.53% | $23.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| PRHI Presurance Holdings Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.98% | $27.2M | /prhi-vs-fgc → |
| KG Kestrel Group Ltd. | D | 47/100 | — | — | 36.4% | -1.19% | $32.5M | /kg-vs-fgc → |
| OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Limited | E | 32/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.82% | $5.9M | /oxbr-vs-fgc → |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings Inc. | D | 46/100 | 3.8x | — | 8.8% | +1.82% | $181.3M | /jrvr-vs-fgc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001591890In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FG Communities Holdings Inc. (FGC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.4M (+209.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $779.0K , and -85.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$6.3M, and free cash flow of -$6.3M (-47.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FGC closed FY2025 with $163.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.4M | $0 | -$6.3M | -$6.3M | $163.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $779.0K | $0 | -$4.2M | -$4.2M | $109.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $17.1M | $3.8M | $156.0K | $156.0K | — | — |
3. FGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, FG Communities Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: FGC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 29/100 at a spot price of $5.10 (-10.53% 1D, market cap $23.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FGC ranks #1076 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FGC compare to PRHI and KG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), FGC carries a Roarable E (29/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, PRHI (Presurance Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $27.2M) and KG (Kestrel Group Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 36.4%, cap $32.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JRVR leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while KG leads on capital efficiency (36.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FGC?
Per FGC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001591890), FG Communities Holdings Inc. generated $2.4M in revenue (+209.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $163.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FGC last traded at $5.10 (-10.53% on volume of 72,883 shares), positioning the stock -27.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.04) and -29.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.28). Across its 52-week range of $4.18 to $18.65, FGC sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.46 to $5.74).
FGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FGC stock moving today?
Why FGC Stock dropped -10.53% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.