Stock Ratings / Materials / FF / insiders

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FutureFuel Corp. (FF) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$5.69 -1.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.66

FutureFuel Corp. (FF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $249.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.66 (-0.53%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FF SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 67% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$5.22+6.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$5.58+2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$5.71-0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.69-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (27) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FF currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.38) and Max Pain ($5.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FF Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FF)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FF. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FF)

✓Walkthrough of FF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.26%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $5.66H $5.75L $5.59C $5.69VOL 212.9K

RES: $6.06SUP: $5.19SMA50: $5.38SMA200: $4.58

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FF Butterfly Map → + Track FF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -60.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FF)

Materials Rank #240 of 270 ⚔️ ALTO vs FF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (FF vs. ALTO, GEVO, LTBR, OEC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FutureFuel Corp. (FF) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #204 by equity capitalization ($249.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.2% ROIC and 19.9% gross margin. OEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with FF at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FF ACTIVE FutureFuel Corp.	D-	35/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-1.90%	$249.6M	Benchmark Subject
ALTO Alto Ingredients Inc.	D	48/100	—	3.8%	2.0%	-0.27%	$283.1M	/alto-vs-ff →
GEVO Gevo Inc.	E	29/100	—	—	-2.9%	-0.82%	$299.2M	/gevo-vs-ff →
LTBR Lightbridge Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-9.1%	-0.73%	$202.3M	/ltbr-vs-ff →
OEC Orion S.A.	D+	52/100	—	19.9%	2.2%	+1.28%	$313.1M	/oec-vs-ff →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001337298

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FutureFuel Corp. (FF) reported GAAP revenue of $95.7M (-60.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $243.3M , and -74.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$49.4M, operating cash flow of -$28.7M, and free cash flow of -$46.0M (-553.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FF closed FY2025 with $200.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.84, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$95.7M	-$49.4M	-$28.7M	-$46.0M	$200.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$243.3M	$15.5M	$24.8M	$10.1M	$247.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$368.3M	$37.4M	$21.3M	$21.3M	—	—

3. FF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FutureFuel Corp. (NYSE: FF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $5.69 (-1.90% 1D, market cap $249.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FF ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FF compare to ALTO and GEVO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), FF carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ALTO (Alto Ingredients Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $283.1M) and GEVO (Gevo Inc.) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.9%, cap $299.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OEC leads on capital efficiency (2.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FF?

Per FF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001337298), FutureFuel Corp. generated $95.7M in revenue (-60.7% YoY), -$49.4M in net income, and -$46.0M in free cash flow against $200.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FF last traded at $5.69 (-1.90% on volume of 478,513 shares), positioning the stock +5.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.38) and +24.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.58). Across its 52-week range of $3.09 to $6.99, FF sits at the 66.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($5.23 to $6.15).

FF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are FF insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FF leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: FF RQD Cockpit FF 12M Forecast FF Earnings & Move FF Dividends & DRIP FF Insiders & 13F FF Whale Options FF Profit Sankey FF News & Why