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First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$21.02 +0.91% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.04B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

57.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE82% OF RANGE

L: $15$21.02H: $22

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on FCF

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

9.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 8.42% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (62)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FCF

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FCF Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FCF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $21.19H $21.22L $20.89C $21.02VOL 842.6K

RES: $21.36SUP: $19.64SMA50: $20.73SMA200: $19.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FCF Butterfly Map → + Track FCF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCF)

Financials Rank #317 of 1096 ⚔️ CHCO vs FCF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FCF vs. CHCO, TBBK, HTH, SRCE)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) ranks #317 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #425 by equity capitalization ($2.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TBBK leads on earnings valuation at 9.0x trailing P/E, while TBBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. TBBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FCF at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FCF ACTIVE First Commonwealth Financial Corporation	C	65/100	13.4x	—	9.8%	+0.91%	$2.04B	Benchmark Subject
CHCO City Holding Company	B	73/100	15.5x	—	16.1%	+1.03%	$2.02B	/chco-vs-fcf →
TBBK The Bancorp Inc	B	75/100	9.0x	—	33.1%	+0.20%	$2.06B	/tbbk-vs-fcf →
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc.	D-	40/100	12.7x	—	7.7%	+1.58%	$2.12B	/hth-vs-fcf →
SRCE 1st Source Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	+0.97%	$2.13B	/srce-vs-fcf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000712537

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $152.3M, operating cash flow of $187.5M, and free cash flow of $171.5M (+50.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCF closed FY2025 with $12.34B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$152.3M	$187.5M	$171.5M	$12.34B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$142.6M	$129.5M	$113.9M	$11.58B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$157.1M	$150.8M	$150.8M	—	—

3. FCF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (NYSE: FCF) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $21.02 (+0.91% 1D, market cap $2.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FCF ranks #317 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCF compare to CHCO and TBBK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), FCF carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, CHCO (City Holding Company) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 15.5x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $2.02B) and TBBK (The Bancorp Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.0x, ROIC 33.1%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBBK leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while TBBK leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCF?

Per FCF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000712537), First Commonwealth Financial Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $152.3M in net income, and $171.5M in free cash flow against $12.34B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCF last traded at $21.02 (+0.91% on volume of 998,636 shares), positioning the stock +1.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.73) and +8.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.44). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $22.34, FCF sits at the 82.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($20.24 to $21.80).

FCF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FCF stock right now?

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is FCF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FCF's 12-month base price target is $21.68 (range $16.91 to $25.58), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: FCF RQD Cockpit FCF 12M Forecast FCF Earnings & Move FCF Dividends & DRIP FCF Insiders & 13F FCF Whale Options FCF Profit Sankey FCF News & Why