MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why FAC Stock surged +2.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.48 +2.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.49
Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $479.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.49 (+0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FAC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$5.14-7.4% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$4.76-14.7% Next Q
51
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$4.06+10.3% Next Q
49
CurrentGrade D$4.48-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FAC Turnaround Squeeze
While FAC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.22) and Max Pain ($4.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.60.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FAC Stock surged +2.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) surged +2.52% to $4.48, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.98 – $25.33). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.98 – $25.33) with RSI-14 at 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.48 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live FAC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FAC)
- ✓Walkthrough of FAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.33H $4.50L $4.26C $4.48VOL 236.8K
RES: $7.10SUP: $3.94SMA50: $5.22SMA200: $8.70
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FAC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FAC)
Industrials Rank #338 of 485
⚔️ SLDP vs FAC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FAC vs. SLDP, MASS, NRGV, QSI)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #298 by equity capitalization ($479.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASS leads on earnings valuation at 27.3x trailing P/E, while SLDP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -20.2% ROIC and — gross margin. FAC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAC
ACTIVE
Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) | D | 46/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.52% | $479.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| SLDP Solid Power Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -20.2% | -0.98% | $463.2M | /sldp-vs-fac → |
| MASS 908 Devices Inc. | D | 46/100 | 27.3x | 50.6% | -35.0% | -0.15% | $531.1M | /mass-vs-fac → |
| NRGV Energy Vault Holdings Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 23.6% | -35.0% | +1.55% | $594.6M | /nrgv-vs-fac → |
| QSI Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 47.3% | -35.0% | +1.74% | $383.0M | /qsi-vs-fac → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002049662In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$73.8M, operating cash flow of -$30.2M, and free cash flow of -$31.2M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FAC closed FY2025 with $62.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$73.8M | -$30.2M | -$31.2M | $62.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$54.3M | -$37.2M | -$38.2M | $116.0M | — |
3. FAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FAC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.48 (+2.52% 1D, market cap $479.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FAC ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FAC compare to SLDP and MASS in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FAC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLDP (Solid Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.2%, cap $463.2M) and MASS (908 Devices Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $531.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASS leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while SLDP leads on capital efficiency (-20.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FAC?
Per FAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002049662), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$73.8M in net income, and -$31.2M in free cash flow against $62.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FAC last traded at $4.48 (+2.52% on volume of 229,418 shares), positioning the stock -14.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.22) and -48.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.70). Across its 52-week range of $3.98 to $25.33, FAC sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.92 to $5.04).
FAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FAC stock moving today?
Why FAC Stock surged +2.52% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.