Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.48 +2.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $479.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
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Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$27 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE FAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FAC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.48: 2232.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.31
$7,388
$-2,612 (-26.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $4.24
$9,464
$-536 (-5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $26.60
$59,375
+$49,375 (+493.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$458%C
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FAC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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FAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $4.33H $4.50L $4.26C $4.48VOL 236.8K
RES: $7.10SUP: $3.94SMA50: $5.22SMA200: $8.70
$26.82$20.63$14.44$8.25$2.06RES $7.10SUP $3.94$4.482026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FAC)

Industrials Rank #338 of 485 ⚔️ SLDP vs FAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FAC vs. SLDP, MASS, NRGV, QSI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #298 by equity capitalization ($479.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASS leads on earnings valuation at 27.3x trailing P/E, while SLDP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -20.2% ROIC and — gross margin. FAC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FAC ACTIVE
Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — -35.0% +2.52% $479.5M Benchmark Subject
SLDP
Solid Power Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — — -20.2% -0.98% $463.2M /sldp-vs-fac →
MASS
908 Devices Inc.
D 46/100 27.3x 50.6% -35.0% -0.15% $531.1M /mass-vs-fac →
NRGV
Energy Vault Holdings Inc.
E 33/100 — 23.6% -35.0% +1.55% $594.6M /nrgv-vs-fac →
QSI
Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)
D- 37/100 — 47.3% -35.0% +1.74% $383.0M /qsi-vs-fac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002049662

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$73.8M, operating cash flow of -$30.2M, and free cash flow of -$31.2M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FAC closed FY2025 with $62.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$73.8M -$30.2M -$31.2M $62.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$54.3M -$37.2M -$38.2M $116.0M —

3. FAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FAC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.48 (+2.52% 1D, market cap $479.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FAC ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FAC compare to SLDP and MASS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FAC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLDP (Solid Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.2%, cap $463.2M) and MASS (908 Devices Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $531.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASS leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while SLDP leads on capital efficiency (-20.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FAC?

Per FAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002049662), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$73.8M in net income, and -$31.2M in free cash flow against $62.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FAC last traded at $4.48 (+2.52% on volume of 229,418 shares), positioning the stock -14.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.22) and -48.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.70). Across its 52-week range of $3.98 to $25.33, FAC sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.92 to $5.04).

FAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FAC's 12-month stock price target?

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $4.24 (-5.4% from $4.48), with a bull-case target of $26.6 and a bear-case floor of $3.31.

Is FAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FAC D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 46/100.

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