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Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.48 +2.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.49

Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $479.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.49 (+0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FAC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$5.14-7.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.76-14.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$4.06+10.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.48-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FAC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.22) and Max Pain ($4.70) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How FAC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY24

Rev $4.00B

FY25

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$4.00B	52%	-1.6%	-$73.8M	-$31.2M	-45%
FY 2024	$4.00B	52%	-1.4%	-$54.3M	-$38.2M	-45%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FAC)

✓Walkthrough of FAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $4.33H $4.50L $4.26C $4.48VOL 236.8K

RES: $7.10SUP: $3.94SMA50: $5.22SMA200: $8.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FAC Butterfly Map → + Track FAC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FAC)

Industrials Rank #338 of 485 ⚔️ SLDP vs FAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FAC vs. SLDP, MASS, NRGV, QSI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #298 by equity capitalization ($479.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MASS leads on earnings valuation at 27.3x trailing P/E, while SLDP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -20.2% ROIC and — gross margin. FAC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FAC ACTIVE Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	+2.52%	$479.5M	Benchmark Subject
SLDP Solid Power Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	—	-20.2%	-0.98%	$463.2M	/sldp-vs-fac →
MASS 908 Devices Inc.	D	46/100	27.3x	50.6%	-35.0%	-0.15%	$531.1M	/mass-vs-fac →
NRGV Energy Vault Holdings Inc.	E	33/100	—	23.6%	-35.0%	+1.55%	$594.6M	/nrgv-vs-fac →
QSI Quantum-Si Incorporated (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	47.3%	-35.0%	+1.74%	$383.0M	/qsi-vs-fac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002049662

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$73.8M, operating cash flow of -$30.2M, and free cash flow of -$31.2M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FAC closed FY2025 with $62.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$73.8M	-$30.2M	-$31.2M	$62.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$54.3M	-$37.2M	-$38.2M	$116.0M	—

3. FAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FAC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $4.48 (+2.52% 1D, market cap $479.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FAC ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FAC compare to SLDP and MASS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FAC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SLDP (Solid Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.2%, cap $463.2M) and MASS (908 Devices Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $531.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MASS leads on earnings multiple (27.3x) while SLDP leads on capital efficiency (-20.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FAC?

Per FAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002049662), Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, -$73.8M in net income, and -$31.2M in free cash flow against $62.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FAC last traded at $4.48 (+2.52% on volume of 229,418 shares), positioning the stock -14.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.22) and -48.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.70). Across its 52-week range of $3.98 to $25.33, FAC sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.92 to $5.04).

FAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Factorial Energy Inc. (Class A) (FAC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), FAC converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: FAC RQD Cockpit FAC 12M Forecast FAC Earnings & Move FAC Dividends & DRIP FAC Insiders & 13F FAC Whale Options FAC Profit Sankey FAC News & Why