Ero Copper has delivered a powerful share price run over the past few years, even with a recent pullback. That puts a spotlight on a basic question for anyone looking at the stock today: Does the current price around its
Why ERO Stock dropped -3.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
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Is ERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE: ERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $31.12 (-3.32% 1D, market cap $3.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ERO ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ERO compare to USAR and AUGO in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ERO carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, USAR (USA Rare Earth Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $3.95B) and AUGO (Aura Minerals Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ERO?
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For Ero Copper Corp. (ERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #145 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.3% FCF Margin ($90.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ERO Turnaround Squeeze
While ERO currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.48) and Max Pain ($32.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $42.87.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why ERO Stock dropped -3.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) dropped -3.32% to $31.12, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($19.1 – $40.83). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($19.1 – $40.83) with RSI-14 at 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $31.12 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $90.9M annual free cash flow.
This under-the-radar copper mining stock boasts a Superscore of 84 from our Hidden Gems Primary database, part of The Motley Fool's Moneyball Database system. Here's why.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-20/projects-signal-ai-copper-use-may-triple-by-2028-trafigura-says
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-20/codelco-sets-european-copper-premium-at-record-350-a-ton
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ERO)
- ✓Walkthrough of ERO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
ERO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ERO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ERO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ERO)
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ERO vs. USAR, AUGO, NEXA, BVN)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #92 by equity capitalization ($3.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUGO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AUGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AUGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ERO at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERO
ACTIVE
Ero Copper Corp. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | -3.32% | $3.25B | Benchmark Subject |
| USAR USA Rare Earth Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | 11.9% | -14.9% | +0.38% | $3.95B | /usar-vs-ero → |
| AUGO Aura Minerals Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -4.30% | $6.56B | /augo-vs-ero → |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +1.52% | $1.59B | /nexa-vs-ero → |
| BVN Buenaventura Mining Company Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -3.56% | $7.01B | /bvn-vs-ero → |
2. ERO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTEro Copper Corp. (ERO) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $3.25B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. ERO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE: ERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $31.12 (-3.32% 1D, market cap $3.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ERO ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ERO compare to USAR and AUGO in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ERO carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, USAR (USA Rare Earth Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $3.95B) and AUGO (Aura Minerals Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ERO?
For Ero Copper Corp. (ERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #145 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ERO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ERO last traded at $31.12 (-3.32% on volume of 992,102 shares), positioning the stock -12.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.48) and +1.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.64). Across its 52-week range of $19.10 to $40.83, ERO sits at the 55.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($28.26 to $33.98).
ERO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ERO stock moving today?
Why ERO Stock dropped -3.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.