Stock Ratings / Materials / ERO / earnings

USAR (39) AUGO (59) NEXA (52) BVN (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.2% Move

$31.12 -3.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.87

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.25B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.87 (-0.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ERO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ERO SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.3% FCF Margin ($90.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$37.61-9.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$34.16-12.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$29.95+3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$31.12-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ERO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ERO currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.48) and Max Pain ($32.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $42.87.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ERO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ERO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.2% Swing Band

±$2.86 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ERO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 51/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (51/100)Model Risk Weight (49/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ERO)

✓Walkthrough of ERO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ERO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.39%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $29.60H $31.12L $28.52C $31.12VOL 2.36M

RES: $37.78SUP: $20.21SMA50: $35.48SMA200: $30.64

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ERO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ERO Butterfly Map → + Track ERO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ERO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ERO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ERO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ERO)

Materials Rank #145 of 270 ⚔️ USAR vs ERO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ERO vs. USAR, AUGO, NEXA, BVN)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #92 by equity capitalization ($3.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUGO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AUGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AUGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ERO at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ERO ACTIVE Ero Copper Corp.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-3.32%	$3.25B	Benchmark Subject
USAR USA Rare Earth Inc.	D-	39/100	—	11.9%	-14.9%	+0.38%	$3.95B	/usar-vs-ero →
AUGO Aura Minerals Inc.	C-	59/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-4.30%	$6.56B	/augo-vs-ero →
NEXA Nexa Resources S.A.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.52%	$1.59B	/nexa-vs-ero →
BVN Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.56%	$7.01B	/bvn-vs-ero →

2. ERO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $3.25B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ERO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE: ERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $31.12 (-3.32% 1D, market cap $3.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ERO ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ERO compare to USAR and AUGO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ERO carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, USAR (USA Rare Earth Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $3.95B) and AUGO (Aura Minerals Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ERO?

For Ero Copper Corp. (ERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #145 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ERO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ERO last traded at $31.12 (-3.32% on volume of 992,102 shares), positioning the stock -12.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.48) and +1.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.64). Across its 52-week range of $19.10 to $40.83, ERO sits at the 55.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($28.26 to $33.98).

ERO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ERO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ero Copper Corp. (ERO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is ERO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.2% event move for ERO, spanning a range between $28.26 and $33.98.

Direct Sub-Reports: ERO RQD Cockpit ERO 12M Forecast ERO Earnings & Move ERO Dividends & DRIP ERO Insiders & 13F ERO Whale Options ERO Profit Sankey ERO News & Why