Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$31.12 -3.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.25B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target
$43 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
📬 FREE ERO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ERO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
33.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE55% OF RANGE
L: $19$31.12H: $41
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ERO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ERO
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ERO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ERO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ERO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.39%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $29.60H $31.12L $28.52C $31.12VOL 2.36M
RES: $37.78SUP: $20.21SMA50: $35.48SMA200: $30.64
$42.08$36.89$31.70$26.51$21.32RES $37.78SUP $20.21$31.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ERO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ERO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ERO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ERO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ERO)

Materials Rank #145 of 270 ⚔️ USAR vs ERO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ERO vs. USAR, AUGO, NEXA, BVN)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #92 by equity capitalization ($3.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AUGO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while AUGO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AUGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with ERO at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ERO ACTIVE
Ero Copper Corp.
D 51/100 — — — -3.32% $3.25B Benchmark Subject
USAR
USA Rare Earth Inc.
D- 39/100 — 11.9% -14.9% +0.38% $3.95B /usar-vs-ero →
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc.
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -4.30% $6.56B /augo-vs-ero →
NEXA
Nexa Resources S.A.
D+ 52/100 — — — +1.52% $1.59B /nexa-vs-ero →
BVN
Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.56% $7.01B /bvn-vs-ero →

2. ERO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $3.25B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ERO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE: ERO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $31.12 (-3.32% 1D, market cap $3.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ERO ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ERO compare to USAR and AUGO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), ERO carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, USAR (USA Rare Earth Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $3.95B) and AUGO (Aura Minerals Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $6.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AUGO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while AUGO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ERO?

For Ero Copper Corp. (ERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #145 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ERO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ERO last traded at $31.12 (-3.32% on volume of 992,102 shares), positioning the stock -12.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.48) and +1.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.64). Across its 52-week range of $19.10 to $40.83, ERO sits at the 55.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($28.26 to $33.98).

ERO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ERO stock right now?

Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 51/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ERO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ERO's 12-month base price target is $30.14 (range $23.51 to $42.87), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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