AMPY (64) PED (45) MINE (52) ANNA (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.42 +0.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.41

Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $194.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.41 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EPSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EPSN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$5.95+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$5.97+6.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$6.36+0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C$6.42+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EPSN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, EPSN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.06) or 200D SMA ($5.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.54) toward Bear Floor ($5.10).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EPSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EPSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (EPSN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for EPSN.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating EPSN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on EPSN
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EPSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.94%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $6.40H $6.49L $6.39C $6.42VOL 34.8K

RES: $6.88SUP: $5.87SMA50: $6.06SMA200: $5.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EPSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EPSN Butterfly Map → + Track EPSN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EPSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EPSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EPSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EPSN)

Energy Rank #90 of 211 ⚔️ AMPY vs EPSN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EPSN vs. AMPY, PED, MINE, ANNA)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #173 by equity capitalization ($194.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with EPSN at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EPSN ACTIVE Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share	C	62/100	—	—	-7.2%	+0.47%	$194.4M	Benchmark Subject
AMPY Amplify Energy Corp.	C	64/100	4.1x	93.2%	15.3%	-1.37%	$179.5M	/ampy-vs-epsn →
PED Pedevco Corp.	D	45/100	—	—	-3.0%	+0.06%	$218.1M	/ped-vs-epsn →
MINE Mayfair Gold Corp.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.70%	$166.8M	/mine-vs-epsn →
ANNA AleAnna Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	8.5%	-0.81%	$163.3M	/anna-vs-epsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001726126

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$5.8M, operating cash flow of $20.6M, and free cash flow of $20.6M (+22.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EPSN closed FY2025 with $228.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$5.8M	$20.6M	$20.6M	$228.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$1.9M	$16.8M	$16.8M	$120.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$6.9M	$18.2M	$18.2M	—	—

3. EPSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EPSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (NASDAQ: EPSN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.42 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $194.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EPSN ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EPSN compare to AMPY and PED in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EPSN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, AMPY (Amplify Energy Corp.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 4.1x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $179.5M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $218.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EPSN?

Per EPSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726126), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share generated $0 in revenue, -$5.8M in net income, and $20.6M in free cash flow against $228.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EPSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EPSN last traded at $6.42 (+0.47% on volume of 46,250 shares), positioning the stock +5.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.06) and +12.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.71). Across its 52-week range of $4.20 to $6.65, EPSN sits at the 90.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($5.99 to $6.85).

EPSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EPSN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for EPSN.

Direct Sub-Reports: EPSN RQD Cockpit EPSN 12M Forecast EPSN Earnings & Move EPSN Dividends & DRIP EPSN Insiders & 13F EPSN Whale Options EPSN Profit Sankey EPSN News & Why