MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why EPSN Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.42 +0.47% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.41
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $194.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.41 (-0.11%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EPSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EPSN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$5.95+0.3% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$5.97+6.5% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$6.36+0.9% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade C$6.42+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EPSN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, EPSN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.06) or 200D SMA ($5.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.54) toward Bear Floor ($5.10).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EPSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EPSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EPSN Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) advanced +0.47% to $6.42, trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($4.2 – $6.65). Solid steady margins (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($4.2 – $6.65) with RSI-14 at 66.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $6.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $20.6M annual free cash flow.
Live EPSN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EPSN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EPSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.94%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $6.40H $6.49L $6.39C $6.42VOL 34.8K
RES: $6.88SUP: $5.87SMA50: $6.06SMA200: $5.71
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EPSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EPSN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EPSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EPSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EPSN)
Energy Rank #90 of 211
⚔️ AMPY vs EPSN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EPSN vs. AMPY, PED, MINE, ANNA)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) ranks #90 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #173 by equity capitalization ($194.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with EPSN at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPSN
ACTIVE
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share | C | 62/100 | — | — | -7.2% | +0.47% | $194.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. | C | 64/100 | 4.1x | 93.2% | 15.3% | -1.37% | $179.5M | /ampy-vs-epsn → |
| PED Pedevco Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | — | -3.0% | +0.06% | $218.1M | /ped-vs-epsn → |
| MINE Mayfair Gold Corp. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +1.70% | $166.8M | /mine-vs-epsn → |
| ANNA AleAnna Inc. (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | 8.5% | -0.81% | $163.3M | /anna-vs-epsn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001726126In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$5.8M, operating cash flow of $20.6M, and free cash flow of $20.6M (+22.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EPSN closed FY2025 with $228.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$5.8M | $20.6M | $20.6M | $228.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $1.9M | $16.8M | $16.8M | $120.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $6.9M | $18.2M | $18.2M | — | — |
3. EPSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EPSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (NASDAQ: EPSN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $6.42 (+0.47% 1D, market cap $194.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EPSN ranks #90 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EPSN compare to AMPY and PED in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EPSN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, AMPY (Amplify Energy Corp.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 4.1x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $179.5M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $218.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EPSN?
Per EPSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726126), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share generated $0 in revenue, -$5.8M in net income, and $20.6M in free cash flow against $228.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EPSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EPSN last traded at $6.42 (+0.47% on volume of 46,250 shares), positioning the stock +5.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.06) and +12.43% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.71). Across its 52-week range of $4.20 to $6.65, EPSN sits at the 90.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($5.99 to $6.85).
EPSN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EPSN stock moving today?
Why EPSN Stock advanced +0.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.