Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / EPC / forecast

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Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$28.57 +3.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.68

Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.32B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.68 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EPC SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 90% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$27.80+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$27.91+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$28.06+1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$28.57+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EPC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, EPC faces multiple-compression risk if 51.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.80) or 200D SMA ($23.92) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.83) toward Bear Floor ($22.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EPC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $28.57: 350.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $22.49

$7,872

$-2,128 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $28.83

$10,091

+$91 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $34.02

$11,908

+$1,908 (+19.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$30	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$32	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$26	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EPC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

EPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.70%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $29.14H $29.58L $28.50C $28.57VOL 444.3K

RES: $28.82SUP: $26.78SMA50: $27.80SMA200: $23.92

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EPC Butterfly Map → + Track EPC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

37.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EPC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #402 of 1011 ⚔️ ODD vs EPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EPC vs. ODD, SCL, COTY, IPAR)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) ranks #402 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #477 by equity capitalization ($1.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. IPAR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with EPC at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EPC ACTIVE Edgewell Personal Care Company	C-	60/100	51.8x	41.6%	2.5%	+3.25%	$1.32B	Benchmark Subject
ODD ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)	B+	77/100	11.1x	72.7%	85.0%	+3.93%	$1.23B	/odd-vs-epc →
SCL Stepan Company	D+	55/100	33.9x	11.6%	4.3%	+2.31%	$1.59B	/scl-vs-epc →
COTY Coty Inc. (Class A)	D	50/100	—	64.8%	3.1%	-0.30%	$2.95B	/coty-vs-epc →
IPAR Interparfums Inc.	A-	81/100	17.8x	63.6%	21.3%	+1.10%	$3.70B	/ipar-vs-epc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001096752

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.22B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.25B , and -1.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.4M, operating cash flow of $118.4M, and free cash flow of $118.4M (+151.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, EPC closed FY2025 with $3.77B in total assets against $1.52B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.22B	$25.4M	$118.4M	$118.4M	$3.77B	$1.52B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.25B	$98.6M	-$231.0M	-$231.0M	$3.70B	$1.44B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$2.25B	$114.7M	-$216.1M	-$216.1M	—	—

3. EPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Edgewell Personal Care Company (NYSE: EPC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $28.57 (+3.25% 1D, market cap $1.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EPC ranks #402 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EPC compare to ODD and SCL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), EPC carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 51.8x, gross margin of 41.6%, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, ODD (ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 11.1x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.23B) and SCL (Stepan Company) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 33.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EPC?

Per EPC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001096752), Edgewell Personal Care Company generated $2.22B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), $25.4M in net income, and $118.4M in free cash flow against $3.77B in total assets and $1.52B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 52x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EPC last traded at $28.57 (+3.25% on volume of 387,778 shares), positioning the stock +2.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.80) and +19.44% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.92). Across its 52-week range of $15.73 to $29.95, EPC sits at the 90.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($26.48 to $30.66).

EPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EPC's 12-month stock price target?

Edgewell Personal Care Company (EPC) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $28.83 (+0.9% from $28.57), with a bull-case target of $34.02 and a bear-case floor of $22.49.

Is EPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates EPC C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 60/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: EPC RQD Cockpit EPC 12M Forecast EPC Earnings & Move EPC Dividends & DRIP EPC Insiders & 13F EPC Whale Options EPC Profit Sankey EPC News & Why