MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why ELA Stock surged +2.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$11.38 +2.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.45
Envela Corporation (ELA) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $295.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.45 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk A
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELA SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 10.30 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 7.5% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$11.94+1% Next Q
78
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$12.06-6.7% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$11.25+1.2% Next Q
73
CurrentGrade B-$11.38+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ELA Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, ELA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.66) or 200D SMA ($17.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.99) toward Bear Floor ($9.33).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ELA Stock surged +2.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Envela Corporation (ELA) surged +2.15% to $11.38, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($9.1 – $29.68). High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($9.1 – $29.68) with RSI-14 at 29.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.4% around $11.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 22.4% gross margin and $1.4M annual free cash flow.
Live ELA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ELA Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ELA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.38%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $11.26H $11.38L $11.09C $11.38VOL 47.4K
RES: $10.63SUP: $10.87SMA50: $12.66SMA200: $17.33
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ELA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +33.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELA)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #183 of 1011
⚔️ FOSL vs ELA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ELA vs. FOSL, BRLT, MOV, VSTS)
Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Envela Corporation (ELA) ranks #183 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #648 by equity capitalization ($295.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELA leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. MOV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with ELA at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELA
ACTIVE
Envela Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 20.2x | 22.4% | 20.7% | +2.15% | $295.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| FOSL Fossil Group Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | 56.1% | -7.2% | +3.01% | $405.1M | /fosl-vs-ela → |
| BRLT Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | 57.5% | -35.0% | +2.58% | $161.9M | /brlt-vs-ela → |
| MOV Movado Group Inc. | B | 73/100 | 26.6x | 54.2% | 8.5% | +1.77% | $706.4M | /mov-vs-ela → |
| VSTS Vestis Corporation | D | 49/100 | — | — | 2.6% | -0.26% | $2.01B | /vsts-vs-ela → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000701719In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Envela Corporation (ELA) reported GAAP revenue of $241.0M (+33.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $180.4M , and +40.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $14.6M, operating cash flow of $2.6M, and free cash flow of $1.4M (-79.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ELA closed FY2025 with $96.0M in total assets against $2.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.30, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $241.0M | $14.6M | $2.6M | $1.4M | $96.0M | $2.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $180.4M | $6.8M | $10.2M | $6.7M | $77.9M | $9.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $171.7M | $7.1M | $5.8M | $5.8M | — | — |
3. ELA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ELA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Envela Corporation (NYSE: ELA) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $11.38 (+2.15% 1D, market cap $295.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ELA ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ELA compare to FOSL and BRLT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), ELA carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 22.4%, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, FOSL (Fossil Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $405.1M) and BRLT (Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $161.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELA leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELA?
Per ELA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000701719), Envela Corporation generated $241.0M in revenue (+33.6% YoY), $14.6M in net income, and $1.4M in free cash flow against $96.0M in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ELA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ELA last traded at $11.38 (+2.15% on volume of 63,293 shares), positioning the stock -10.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.66) and -34.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.33). Across its 52-week range of $9.10 to $29.68, ELA sits at the 11.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($10.77 to $11.99).
ELA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ELA stock moving today?
Why ELA Stock surged +2.15% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (22% profit margin, 21% return on capital) with steady institutional support.