Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ELA / forecast

FOSL (38) BRLT (52) MOV (63) VSTS (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Envela Corporation (ELA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$11.38 +2.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.40

Envela Corporation (ELA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $295.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ELA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ELA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Envela Corporation (NYSE: ELA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $11.38 (+2.15% 1D, market cap $295.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ELA ranks #464 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ELA compare to FOSL and BRLT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), ELA carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 22.4%, and ROIC of 20.7%. By comparison, FOSL (Fossil Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $405.1M) and BRLT (Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $161.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELA leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELA?

▼

Per ELA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000701719), Envela Corporation generated $241.0M in revenue (+33.6% YoY), $14.6M in net income, and $1.4M in free cash flow against $96.0M in total assets and $2.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.40 (+0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ELA SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 10.30 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$11.96+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$11.96-6.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$11.22+1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$11.38-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ELA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, ELA faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 19.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.61) or 200D SMA ($17.31) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.23) toward Bear Floor ($8.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ELA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ELA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.38: 878.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $8.76

$7,698

$-2,302 (-23.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.23

$9,868

$-132 (-1.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $31.16

$27,381

+$17,381 (+173.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$12	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$29	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$10	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ELA)

✓Walkthrough of ELA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ELA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.10%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-02O $11.14H $11.38L $11.14C $11.38VOL 63.3K

RES: $10.45SUP: $10.78SMA50: $12.61SMA200: $17.31

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ELA Butterfly Map → + Track ELA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +33.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #464 of 1011 ⚔️ FOSL vs ELA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ELA vs. FOSL, BRLT, MOV, VSTS)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Envela Corporation (ELA) ranks #464 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #648 by equity capitalization ($295.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELA leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. MOV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ELA at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ELA ACTIVE Envela Corporation	D+	55/100	20.2x	22.4%	20.7%	+2.15%	$295.5M	Benchmark Subject
FOSL Fossil Group Inc.	D-	38/100	—	56.1%	-7.2%	+3.01%	$405.1M	/fosl-vs-ela →
BRLT Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	57.5%	-35.0%	+2.58%	$161.9M	/brlt-vs-ela →
MOV Movado Group Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	54.2%	8.5%	+1.77%	$706.4M	/mov-vs-ela →
VSTS Vestis Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	2.6%	-0.26%	$2.01B	/vsts-vs-ela →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000701719

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Envela Corporation (ELA) reported GAAP revenue of $241.0M (+33.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $180.4M , and +40.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $14.6M, operating cash flow of $2.6M, and free cash flow of $1.4M (-79.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ELA closed FY2025 with $96.0M in total assets against $2.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.30, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$241.0M	$14.6M	$2.6M	$1.4M	$96.0M	$2.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$180.4M	$6.8M	$10.2M	$6.7M	$77.9M	$9.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$171.7M	$7.1M	$5.8M	$5.8M	—	—

3. ELA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ELA compare to FOSL and BRLT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELA?

Where is ELA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELA last traded at $11.38 (+2.15% on volume of 63,293 shares), positioning the stock -9.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.61) and -34.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.31). Across its 52-week range of $8.81 to $29.68, ELA sits at the 12.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($10.77 to $11.99).

ELA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ELA's 12-month stock price target?

Envela Corporation (ELA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.23 (-1.3% from $11.38), with a bull-case target of $31.16 and a bear-case floor of $8.76.

Is ELA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ELA D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 55/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ELA RQD Cockpit ELA 12M Forecast ELA Earnings & Move ELA Dividends & DRIP ELA Insiders & 13F ELA Whale Options ELA Profit Sankey ELA News & Why