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Eagle Bancorp Inc. (EGBN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$33.47 +1.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.48

Eagle Bancorp Inc. (EGBN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.48 (+0.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EGBN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EGBN SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($20.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$28.22+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$28.35+18.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$33.68-0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$33.47-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EGBN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EGBN currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.74) and Max Pain ($35.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.18.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EGBN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EGBN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

EGBN Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (EGBN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on EGBN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EGBN)

✓Walkthrough of EGBN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EGBN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.48%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $33.59H $33.70L $33.10C $33.47VOL 374.5K

RES: $34.41SUP: $27.68SMA50: $28.74SMA200: $27.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EGBN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EGBN Butterfly Map → + Track EGBN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EGBN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EGBN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EGBN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EGBN)

Financials Rank #935 of 1096 ⚔️ EQBK vs EGBN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (EGBN vs. EQBK, BFST, MCBS, MBWM)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Eagle Bancorp Inc. (EGBN) ranks #935 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #549 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BFST leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while MCBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and — gross margin. BFST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with EGBN at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EGBN ACTIVE Eagle Bancorp Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	-12.2%	+1.30%	$1.02B	Benchmark Subject
EQBK Equity Bancshares Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	44.5x	—	3.1%	+0.99%	$1.01B	/eqbk-vs-egbn →
BFST Business First Bancshares Inc.	C+	69/100	11.8x	—	9.8%	+0.41%	$1.03B	/bfst-vs-egbn →
MCBS MetroCity Bankshares Inc.	C	65/100	15.1x	—	12.6%	+0.59%	$1.04B	/mcbs-vs-egbn →
MBWM Mercantile Bank Corporation	D+	58/100	11.8x	—	12.2%	+0.53%	$1.05B	/mbwm-vs-egbn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001050441

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Eagle Bancorp Inc. (EGBN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$138.1M, operating cash flow of $28.5M, and free cash flow of $20.8M (-83.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, EGBN closed FY2025 with $10.50B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$138.1M	$28.5M	$20.8M	$10.50B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$47.0M	$123.8M	$123.4M	$11.13B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$100.5M	$195.6M	$195.6M	—	—

3. EGBN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EGBN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Eagle Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: EGBN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $33.47 (+1.30% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, EGBN ranks #935 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EGBN compare to EQBK and BFST in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), EGBN carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.2%. By comparison, EQBK (Equity Bancshares Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 44.5x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $1.01B) and BFST (Business First Bancshares Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $1.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BFST leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while MCBS leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EGBN?

Per EGBN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050441), Eagle Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$138.1M in net income, and $20.8M in free cash flow against $10.50B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EGBN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EGBN last traded at $33.47 (+1.30% on volume of 421,847 shares), positioning the stock +16.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.74) and +23.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.11). Across its 52-week range of $15.03 to $34.09, EGBN sits at the 96.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.8 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($31.39 to $35.55).

EGBN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are EGBN insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies EGBN leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: EGBN RQD Cockpit EGBN 12M Forecast EGBN Earnings & Move EGBN Dividends & DRIP EGBN Insiders & 13F EGBN Whale Options EGBN Profit Sankey EGBN News & Why