MARKET WIREYahoo • 13d ago
Educational Development Corp.: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsInventory monetization and sales-force rebuilding are generating cash without external borrowing, a sign of operational self-sufficiency.
Why EDUC Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.04 +0.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04
Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $8.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 6.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EDUC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EDUC SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$1.30-20% Next Q
69
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$1.04-1.9% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$1.02+2% Next Q
64
CurrentGrade C-$1.04+0.5% Hist 90D α
61
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EDUC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, EDUC faces multiple-compression risk if 3.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 56.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.25) or 200D SMA ($1.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.05) toward Bear Floor ($0.82).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EDUC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EDUC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why EDUC Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) advanced +0.97% to $1.04, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($0.99 – $1.65). Solid 59% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($0.99 – $1.65) with RSI-14 at 15.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 59.4% gross margin and $1.5M annual free cash flow.
Live EDUC Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EDUC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
EDUC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.71%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.03H $1.09L $1.03C $1.04VOL 11.9K
RES: $1.30SUP: $0.95SMA50: $1.25SMA200: $1.37
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
EDUC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -33.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EDUC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EDUC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EDUC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EDUC)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #392 of 1011
⚔️ NHTC vs EDUC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EDUC vs. NHTC, HYFM, BRLT, ELA)
Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) ranks #392 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #938 by equity capitalization ($8.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EDUC leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. ELA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with EDUC at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDUC
ACTIVE
Educational Development Corporation | C- | 61/100 | 3.8x | 59.4% | 5.1% | +0.97% | $8.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| NHTC Natural Health Trends Corp. | E | 27/100 | — | 73.5% | -8.6% | -8.01% | $6.6M | /nhtc-vs-educ → |
| HYFM Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 11.3% | -35.0% | -5.45% | $3.8M | /hyfm-vs-educ → |
| BRLT Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A) | D | 47/100 | — | 57.5% | -35.0% | +2.58% | $161.9M | /brlt-vs-educ → |
| ELA Envela Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 20.2x | 22.4% | 20.7% | +2.15% | $295.5M | /ela-vs-educ → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000031667In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) reported GAAP revenue of $22.9M (-33.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.2M , and -55.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.3M, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (-47.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, EDUC closed FY2025 with $59.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-02-28 | $22.9M | $2.3M | $2.0M | $1.5M | $59.5M | $0 |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-28 | $34.2M | -$5.3M | $3.2M | $2.8M | $83.6M | $25.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-29 | $51.0M | $546.4K | $8.8M | $8.8M | — | — |
3. EDUC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs EDUC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Educational Development Corporation (NASDAQ: EDUC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $8.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EDUC ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.
How does EDUC compare to NHTC and HYFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), EDUC carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of 59.4%, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, NHTC (Natural Health Trends Corp.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $6.6M) and HYFM (Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EDUC leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDUC?
Per EDUC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000031667), Educational Development Corporation generated $22.9M in revenue (-33.0% YoY), $2.3M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $59.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is EDUC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
EDUC last traded at $1.04 (+0.97% on volume of 20,898 shares), positioning the stock -16.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.25) and -24.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.37). Across its 52-week range of $0.99 to $1.65, EDUC sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 15.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).
EDUC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is EDUC stock moving today?
Why EDUC Stock advanced +0.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 59% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at 4x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.