Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / EDUC / financials

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Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: How profitable is Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), EDUC converted $22.9M of revenue into a 59.4% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $1.5M in free cash flow (6.4% FCF margin).

$1.04 +0.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04

Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 6.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EDUC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EDUC SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$1.30-20% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$1.04-1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$1.02+2% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$1.04+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EDUC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, EDUC faces multiple-compression risk if 3.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 56.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.25) or 200D SMA ($1.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.05) toward Bear Floor ($0.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EDUC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EDUC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How EDUC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.5M (6.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $51.0M

FY24

Rev $34.2M

FY25

Rev $22.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$22.9M	59.4%	0%	$2.3M	$1.5M	5.1%
FY 2024	$34.2M	61.5%	0%	-$5.3M	$2.8M	5.1%
FY 2023	$51.0M	59.4%	0%	$546.4K	$8.8M	5.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EDUC)

✓Walkthrough of EDUC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

EDUC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.71%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.03H $1.09L $1.03C $1.04VOL 11.9K

RES: $1.30SUP: $0.95SMA50: $1.25SMA200: $1.37

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EDUC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EDUC Butterfly Map → + Track EDUC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -33.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EDUC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EDUC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EDUC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EDUC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #392 of 1011 ⚔️ NHTC vs EDUC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EDUC vs. NHTC, HYFM, BRLT, ELA)

Industry: Consumer Specialties (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) ranks #392 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #938 by equity capitalization ($8.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EDUC leads on earnings valuation at 3.8x trailing P/E, while ELA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.7% ROIC and 22.4% gross margin. ELA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with EDUC at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EDUC ACTIVE Educational Development Corporation	C-	61/100	3.8x	59.4%	5.1%	+0.97%	$8.9M	Benchmark Subject
NHTC Natural Health Trends Corp.	E	27/100	—	73.5%	-8.6%	-8.01%	$6.6M	/nhtc-vs-educ →
HYFM Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc.	D-	37/100	—	11.3%	-35.0%	-5.45%	$3.8M	/hyfm-vs-educ →
BRLT Brilliant Earth Group Inc. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	57.5%	-35.0%	+2.58%	$161.9M	/brlt-vs-educ →
ELA Envela Corporation	B-	70/100	20.2x	22.4%	20.7%	+2.15%	$295.5M	/ela-vs-educ →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000031667

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) reported GAAP revenue of $22.9M (-33.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.2M , and -55.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.3M, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.5M (-47.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, EDUC closed FY2025 with $59.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-02-28	$22.9M	$2.3M	$2.0M	$1.5M	$59.5M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2025-02-28	$34.2M	-$5.3M	$3.2M	$2.8M	$83.6M	$25.3M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-02-29	$51.0M	$546.4K	$8.8M	$8.8M	—	—

3. EDUC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EDUC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Educational Development Corporation (NASDAQ: EDUC) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $8.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EDUC ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EDUC compare to NHTC and HYFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Specialties), EDUC carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 3.8x, gross margin of 59.4%, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, NHTC (Natural Health Trends Corp.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $6.6M) and HYFM (Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EDUC leads on earnings multiple (3.8x) while ELA leads on capital efficiency (20.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDUC?

Per EDUC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000031667), Educational Development Corporation generated $22.9M in revenue (-33.0% YoY), $2.3M in net income, and $1.5M in free cash flow against $59.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EDUC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EDUC last traded at $1.04 (+0.97% on volume of 20,898 shares), positioning the stock -16.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.25) and -24.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.37). Across its 52-week range of $0.99 to $1.65, EDUC sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 15.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).