GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.05 -1.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $324.1M
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$21 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EAF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (EAF)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for EAF.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EAF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EAF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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EAF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $11.65H $12.05L $11.53C $12.05VOL 389.1K
RES: $12.41SUP: $6.22SMA50: $8.35SMA200: $8.40
$12.90$10.79$8.67$6.56$4.44RES $12.41SUP $6.22$12.052026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EAF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EAF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EAF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EAF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EAF)

Energy Rank #183 of 211 ⚔️ NPWR vs EAF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EAF vs. NPWR, BLDP, FCEL, EROC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) ranks #183 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #166 by equity capitalization ($324.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EAF leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EAF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.3% ROIC and -3.1% gross margin. BLDP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with EAF at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EAF ACTIVE
GrafTech International Ltd.
D- 40/100 — -3.1% -7.3% -1.07% $324.1M Benchmark Subject
NPWR
NET Power Inc. (Class A)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -6.46% $188.0M /npwr-vs-eaf →
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -1.24% $561.7M /bldp-vs-eaf →
FCEL
FuelCell Energy Inc.
E 33/100 — -16.7% -35.0% -1.62% $973.8M /fcel-vs-eaf →
EROC
ERock Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -0.33% $1.97B /eroc-vs-eaf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000931148

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), GrafTech International Ltd. (EAF) reported GAAP revenue of $504.1M (-6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $538.8M , and -18.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$219.8M, operating cash flow of -$81.6M, and free cash flow of -$120.5M (-62.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, EAF closed FY2025 with $1.03B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $504.1M -$219.8M -$81.6M -$120.5M $1.03B $1.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $538.8M -$131.2M -$40.1M -$74.4M $1.22B $1.09B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $620.5M -$255.3M $76.6M $76.6M — —

3. EAF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EAF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE: EAF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $12.05 (-1.07% 1D, market cap $324.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EAF ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EAF compare to NPWR and BLDP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), EAF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -3.1%, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, NPWR (NET Power Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.0M) and BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $561.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EAF leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EAF?

Per EAF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000931148), GrafTech International Ltd. generated $504.1M in revenue (-6.4% YoY), -$219.8M in net income, and -$120.5M in free cash flow against $1.03B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EAF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EAF last traded at $12.05 (-1.07% on volume of 560,154 shares), positioning the stock +44.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.35) and +43.45% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.40). Across its 52-week range of $4.92 to $19.72, EAF sits at the 48.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.54 to $13.56).

EAF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EAF's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for EAF.

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