FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$12.18 -1.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $973.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (5)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$40 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE FCEL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
35.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $6$12.18H: $38
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FCEL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-35.0% ROIC with -16.7% gross margin and -12.87% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (38)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FCEL
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FCEL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FCEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FCEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.31%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $11.16H $12.18L $10.58C $12.18VOL 5.08M
RES: $19.24SUP: $10.07SMA50: $15.92SMA200: $14.93
$40.02$31.16$22.31$13.46$4.60RES $19.24SUP $10.07$12.182026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCEL)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (FCEL vs. BLDP, EROC, PLUG, EAF)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #138 by equity capitalization ($973.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FCEL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EAF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.3% ROIC and -3.1% gross margin. BLDP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with FCEL at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FCEL ACTIVE
FuelCell Energy Inc.
E 33/100 — -16.7% -35.0% -1.62% $973.8M Benchmark Subject
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
D 50/100 — — — -1.24% $561.7M /bldp-vs-fcel →
EROC
ERock Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -0.33% $1.97B /eroc-vs-fcel →
PLUG
Plug Power Inc.
D- 40/100 — -30.0% -35.0% 0.00% $1.98B /plug-vs-fcel →
EAF
GrafTech International Ltd.
D- 40/100 — -3.1% -7.3% -1.07% $324.1M /eaf-vs-fcel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0000886128

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) reported GAAP revenue of $158.2M (+41.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $112.1M , and +28.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$187.9M, operating cash flow of -$125.3M, and free cash flow of -$125.3M (+18.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCEL closed FY2025 with $978.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $158.2M -$187.9M -$125.3M -$125.3M $978.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $112.1M -$126.0M -$152.9M -$152.9M $907.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $123.4M -$107.6M -$140.3M -$140.3M — —

3. FCEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, FuelCell Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $12.18 (-1.62% 1D, market cap $973.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FCEL ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCEL compare to BLDP and EROC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FCEL carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -16.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $561.7M) and EROC (ERock Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCEL?

Per FCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0000886128), FuelCell Energy Inc. generated $158.2M in revenue (+41.0% YoY), -$187.9M in net income, and -$125.3M in free cash flow against $978.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCEL last traded at $12.18 (-1.62% on volume of 3,446,916 shares), positioning the stock -23.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.92) and -18.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.93). Across its 52-week range of $5.71 to $37.88, FCEL sits at the 20.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.66 to $13.70).

FCEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FCEL stock right now?

FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FCEL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FCEL's 12-month base price target is $10.81 (range $8.43 to $39.77), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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