MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why DUKR Stock surged +3.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.25 +3.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27
DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $14.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27 (+0.47%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DUKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DUKR SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$4.84-7.9% Next Q
55
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$4.46-7% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$4.15+2.4% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D$4.25-5.9% Hist 90D α
47
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DUKR Turnaround Squeeze
While DUKR currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.05) and Max Pain ($4.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.91.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DUKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DUKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DUKR Stock surged +3.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) surged +3.66% to $4.25, trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($0.19 – $14.2). Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 29% of its 52-week range ($0.19 – $14.2) with RSI-14 at 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.25 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 17.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live DUKR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DUKR)
- ✓Walkthrough of DUKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DUKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.88H $4.25L $3.41C $4.25VOL 20.3K
RES: $5.98SUP: $3.67SMA50: $5.05SMA200: $5.59
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DUKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUKR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DUKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DUKR)
Industrials Rank #331 of 485
⚔️ BAER vs DUKR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DUKR vs. BAER, UAVS, MOB, FLYE)
Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) ranks #331 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #443 by equity capitalization ($14.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while FLYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.2% ROIC and 24.4% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with DUKR at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUKR
ACTIVE
DUKE Robotics Corp. | D | 47/100 | 11.7x | — | -35.0% | +3.66% | $14.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| BAER Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 5.8x | 42.1% | — | -4.71% | $23.8M | /baer-vs-dukr → |
| UAVS AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 51.8% | -32.4% | -4.22% | $34.1M | /uavs-vs-dukr → |
| MOB Mobilicom Limited | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.94% | $42.5M | /mob-vs-dukr → |
| FLYE Fly-E Group Inc. | E | 24/100 | — | 24.4% | -24.2% | 0.00% | $3.0M | /flye-vs-dukr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001638911In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) reported GAAP revenue of $377.0K (+249.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.0K , and +25.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.2M, operating cash flow of -$811.0K, and free cash flow of -$1.0M (-2.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DUKR closed FY2025 with $1.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $377.0K | $1.2M | -$811.0K | -$1.0M | $1.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $108.0K | $985.0K | -$918.0K | -$995.0K | $1.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $300.0K | $726.0K | -$548.0K | -$548.0K | — | — |
3. DUKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DUKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, DUKE Robotics Corp. (NASDAQ: DUKR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.25 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $14.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DUKR ranks #331 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DUKR compare to BAER and UAVS in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), DUKR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $23.8M) and UAVS (AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.4%, cap $34.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUKR?
Per DUKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001638911), DUKE Robotics Corp. generated $377.0K in revenue (+249.1% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $1.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DUKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DUKR last traded at $4.25 (+3.66% on volume of 7,162 shares), positioning the stock -15.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.05) and -23.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.59). Across its 52-week range of $0.19 to $14.20, DUKR sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.72 to $4.78).
DUKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DUKR stock moving today?
Why DUKR Stock surged +3.66% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 12x P/E (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.