Stock Ratings / Industrials / DUKR / earnings

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DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: When is DUKR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

Q: How much is DUKR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for DUKR, spanning a range between $3.72 and $4.78.

$4.25 +3.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27

DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $14.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27 (+0.47%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DUKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DUKR SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.84-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.46-7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.15+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.25-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DUKR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DUKR currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.05) and Max Pain ($4.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DUKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DUKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.53 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DUKR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.36 • YoY Revenue Growth: 180%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$377.0K	$1.2M	-$1.0M	47.5%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$108.0K	$985.0K	-$995.0K	34.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$300.0K	$726.0K	-$548.0K	47.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DUKR)

✓Walkthrough of DUKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DUKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $3.88H $4.25L $3.41C $4.25VOL 20.3K

RES: $5.98SUP: $3.67SMA50: $5.05SMA200: $5.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DUKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DUKR Butterfly Map → + Track DUKR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DUKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DUKR)

Industrials Rank #331 of 485 ⚔️ BAER vs DUKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DUKR vs. BAER, UAVS, MOB, FLYE)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) ranks #331 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #443 by equity capitalization ($14.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while FLYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.2% ROIC and 24.4% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with DUKR at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DUKR ACTIVE DUKE Robotics Corp.	D	47/100	11.7x	—	-35.0%	+3.66%	$14.6M	Benchmark Subject
BAER Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.	D+	56/100	5.8x	42.1%	—	-4.71%	$23.8M	/baer-vs-dukr →
UAVS AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.	E	32/100	—	51.8%	-32.4%	-4.22%	$34.1M	/uavs-vs-dukr →
MOB Mobilicom Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.94%	$42.5M	/mob-vs-dukr →
FLYE Fly-E Group Inc.	E	24/100	—	24.4%	-24.2%	0.00%	$3.0M	/flye-vs-dukr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001638911

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) reported GAAP revenue of $377.0K (+249.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.0K , and +25.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.2M, operating cash flow of -$811.0K, and free cash flow of -$1.0M (-2.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DUKR closed FY2025 with $1.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$377.0K	$1.2M	-$811.0K	-$1.0M	$1.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$108.0K	$985.0K	-$918.0K	-$995.0K	$1.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$300.0K	$726.0K	-$548.0K	-$548.0K	—	—

3. DUKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DUKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, DUKE Robotics Corp. (NASDAQ: DUKR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.25 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $14.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DUKR ranks #331 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DUKR compare to BAER and UAVS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), DUKR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $23.8M) and UAVS (AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.4%, cap $34.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUKR?

Per DUKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001638911), DUKE Robotics Corp. generated $377.0K in revenue (+249.1% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $1.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DUKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DUKR last traded at $4.25 (+3.66% on volume of 7,162 shares), positioning the stock -15.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.05) and -23.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.59). Across its 52-week range of $0.19 to $14.20, DUKR sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.72 to $4.78).

DUKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DUKR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DUKR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for DUKR, spanning a range between $3.72 and $4.78.

Direct Sub-Reports: DUKR RQD Cockpit DUKR 12M Forecast DUKR Earnings & Move DUKR Dividends & DRIP DUKR Insiders & 13F DUKR Whale Options DUKR Profit Sankey DUKR News & Why