Stock Ratings / Industrials / DUKR / financials

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DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: How profitable is DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), DUKR converted $1.0M of revenue into a 17.9% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

$4.25 +3.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27

DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $14.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.27 (+0.47%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DUKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DUKR SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$4.84-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.46-7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.15+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$4.25-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DUKR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DUKR currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.05) and Max Pain ($4.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DUKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DUKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DUKR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $300.0K

FY24

Rev $108.0K

FY25

Rev $377.0K

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$377.0K	47.5%	-80%	$1.2M	-$1.0M	-45%
FY 2024	$108.0K	34.3%	-80%	$985.0K	-$995.0K	-45%
FY 2023	$300.0K	47.5%	-80%	$726.0K	-$548.0K	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DUKR)

✓Walkthrough of DUKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DUKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $3.88H $4.25L $3.41C $4.25VOL 20.3K

RES: $5.98SUP: $3.67SMA50: $5.05SMA200: $5.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DUKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DUKR Butterfly Map → + Track DUKR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DUKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DUKR)

Industrials Rank #331 of 485 ⚔️ BAER vs DUKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DUKR vs. BAER, UAVS, MOB, FLYE)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) ranks #331 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #443 by equity capitalization ($14.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while FLYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.2% ROIC and 24.4% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with DUKR at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DUKR ACTIVE DUKE Robotics Corp.	D	47/100	11.7x	—	-35.0%	+3.66%	$14.6M	Benchmark Subject
BAER Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.	D+	56/100	5.8x	42.1%	—	-4.71%	$23.8M	/baer-vs-dukr →
UAVS AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.	E	32/100	—	51.8%	-32.4%	-4.22%	$34.1M	/uavs-vs-dukr →
MOB Mobilicom Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.94%	$42.5M	/mob-vs-dukr →
FLYE Fly-E Group Inc.	E	24/100	—	24.4%	-24.2%	0.00%	$3.0M	/flye-vs-dukr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001638911

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) reported GAAP revenue of $377.0K (+249.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.0K , and +25.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.2M, operating cash flow of -$811.0K, and free cash flow of -$1.0M (-2.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DUKR closed FY2025 with $1.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$377.0K	$1.2M	-$811.0K	-$1.0M	$1.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$108.0K	$985.0K	-$918.0K	-$995.0K	$1.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$300.0K	$726.0K	-$548.0K	-$548.0K	—	—

3. DUKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DUKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, DUKE Robotics Corp. (NASDAQ: DUKR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $4.25 (+3.66% 1D, market cap $14.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DUKR ranks #331 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DUKR compare to BAER and UAVS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), DUKR carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $23.8M) and UAVS (AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.4%, cap $34.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUKR?

Per DUKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001638911), DUKE Robotics Corp. generated $377.0K in revenue (+249.1% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $1.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DUKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DUKR last traded at $4.25 (+3.66% on volume of 7,162 shares), positioning the stock -15.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.05) and -23.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.59). Across its 52-week range of $0.19 to $14.20, DUKR sits at the 29.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.72 to $4.78).

DUKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), DUKR converted $1.0M of revenue into a 17.9% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: DUKR RQD Cockpit DUKR 12M Forecast DUKR Earnings & Move DUKR Dividends & DRIP DUKR Insiders & 13F DUKR Whale Options DUKR Profit Sankey DUKR News & Why