MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why DIT Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$62.50 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38
AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $61.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DIT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($9.7M FCF) & 6.7% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$65.13-7.9% Next Q
64
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$60.00+0.5% Next Q
61
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$60.32+3.6% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade D+$62.50-0.4% Hist 90D α
56
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIT Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, DIT faces multiple-compression risk if 107.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Priced at 107x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.44) or 200D SMA ($74.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.94) toward Bear Floor ($48.31).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DIT Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) slipped 0.00% to $62.50, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($59.15 – $95.59). Stretched risk/reward at 107x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($59.15 – $95.59) with RSI-14 at 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $62.50 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 6.7% gross margin and $9.7M annual free cash flow.
Live DIT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DIT)
- ✓Walkthrough of DIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $63.53H $63.53L $61.51C $62.50VOL 1.3K
RES: $68.90SUP: $60.11SMA50: $65.44SMA200: $74.26
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIT)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #522 of 1011
⚔️ HFFG vs DIT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIT vs. HFFG, MWYN, RAVE, UNFI)
Industry: Food Distributors (10 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) ranks #522 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #794 by equity capitalization ($61.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAVE leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while RAVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RAVE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DIT at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIT
ACTIVE
AMCON Distributing Company | D+ | 56/100 | 107.3x | 6.7% | 8.7% | 0.00% | $61.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| HFFG HF Foods Group Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | 16.9% | -8.6% | +0.69% | $80.6M | /hffg-vs-dit → |
| MWYN Marwynn Holdings Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | 15.3% | -35.0% | +24.82% | $35.5M | /mwyn-vs-dit → |
| RAVE Rave Restaurant Group Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 10.9x | — | 18.4% | -1.13% | $31.3M | /rave-vs-dit → |
| UNFI United Natural Foods Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 13.3% | -1.6% | -3.25% | $2.78B | /unfi-vs-dit → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000928465In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.82B (+3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B ) , GAAP net income of $568.7K, operating cash flow of $18.7M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-79.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIT closed FY2025 with $378.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $2.82B | $568.7K | $18.7M | $9.7M | $378.7M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $2.71B | $4.3M | $67.9M | $47.4M | $404.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $0 | $11.6M | $19.7M | $19.7M | — | — |
3. DIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, AMCON Distributing Company (NYSE: DIT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $62.50 (0.00% 1D, market cap $61.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIT ranks #522 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DIT compare to HFFG and MWYN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Food Distributors), DIT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 107.3x, gross margin of 6.7%, and ROIC of 8.7%. By comparison, HFFG (HF Foods Group Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $80.6M) and MWYN (Marwynn Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $35.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAVE leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while RAVE leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIT?
Per DIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000928465), AMCON Distributing Company generated $2.82B in revenue (+3.9% YoY), $568.7K in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $378.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DIT last traded at $62.50 (0.00% on volume of 14 shares), positioning the stock -4.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($65.44) and -15.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.26). Across its 52-week range of $59.15 to $95.59, DIT sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($59.00 to $66.00).
DIT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DIT stock moving today?
Why DIT Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 107x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.