Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DIT / earnings

HFFG (48) MWYN (47) RAVE (71) UNFI (53) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.6% Move

$62.50 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38

AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $61.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DIT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, AMCON Distributing Company (NYSE: DIT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $62.50 (0.00% 1D, market cap $61.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIT ranks #522 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DIT compare to HFFG and MWYN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Food Distributors), DIT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 107.3x, gross margin of 6.7%, and ROIC of 8.7%. By comparison, HFFG (HF Foods Group Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $80.6M) and MWYN (Marwynn Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $35.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAVE leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while RAVE leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIT?

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Per DIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000928465), AMCON Distributing Company generated $2.82B in revenue (+3.9% YoY), $568.7K in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $378.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DIT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($9.7M FCF) & 6.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$65.13-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$60.00+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$60.32+3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$62.50-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, DIT faces multiple-compression risk if 107.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 107x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.44) or 200D SMA ($74.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.94) toward Bear Floor ($48.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.6% Swing Band

±$3.50 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DIT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 56/100

Trailing EPS: $0.57 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (56/100)Model Risk Weight (44/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$2.82B	$568.7K	$9.7M	6.7%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$2.71B	$4.3M	$47.4M	6.7%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$0	$11.6M	$19.7M	8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DIT)

✓Walkthrough of DIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $63.53H $63.53L $61.51C $62.50VOL 1.3K

RES: $68.90SUP: $60.11SMA50: $65.44SMA200: $74.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DIT Butterfly Map → + Track DIT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #522 of 1011 ⚔️ HFFG vs DIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIT vs. HFFG, MWYN, RAVE, UNFI)

Industry: Food Distributors (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) ranks #522 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #794 by equity capitalization ($61.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAVE leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while RAVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RAVE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DIT at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DIT ACTIVE AMCON Distributing Company	D+	56/100	107.3x	6.7%	8.7%	0.00%	$61.0M	Benchmark Subject
HFFG HF Foods Group Inc.	D	48/100	—	16.9%	-8.6%	+0.69%	$80.6M	/hffg-vs-dit →
MWYN Marwynn Holdings Inc.	D	47/100	—	15.3%	-35.0%	+24.82%	$35.5M	/mwyn-vs-dit →
RAVE Rave Restaurant Group Inc.	B-	71/100	10.9x	—	18.4%	-1.13%	$31.3M	/rave-vs-dit →
UNFI United Natural Foods Inc.	D+	53/100	—	13.3%	-1.6%	-3.25%	$2.78B	/unfi-vs-dit →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000928465

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.82B (+3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B ) , GAAP net income of $568.7K, operating cash flow of $18.7M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-79.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIT closed FY2025 with $378.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.82B	$568.7K	$18.7M	$9.7M	$378.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.71B	$4.3M	$67.9M	$47.4M	$404.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$0	$11.6M	$19.7M	$19.7M	—	—

3. DIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DIT compare to HFFG and MWYN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIT?

Where is DIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIT last traded at $62.50 (0.00% on volume of 14 shares), positioning the stock -4.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($65.44) and -15.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.26). Across its 52-week range of $59.15 to $95.59, DIT sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($59.00 to $66.00).