Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DIT / financials

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AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$62.50 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38

AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $61.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $62.38 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DIT SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($9.7M FCF) & 6.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$65.13-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$60.00+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$60.32+3.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$62.50-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, DIT faces multiple-compression risk if 107.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 107x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.44) or 200D SMA ($74.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.94) toward Bear Floor ($48.31).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DIT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DIT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$9.7M (0.3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.82B

FY24

Rev $2.71B

FY25

Rev $2.82B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.82B	6.7%	0.4%	$568.7K	$9.7M	8.7%
FY 2024	$2.71B	6.7%	0.7%	$4.3M	$47.4M	12.6%
FY 2023	$2.82B	8%	0.9%	$11.6M	$19.7M	8.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DIT)

✓Walkthrough of DIT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DIT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.66%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $63.53H $63.53L $61.51C $62.50VOL 1.3K

RES: $68.90SUP: $60.11SMA50: $65.44SMA200: $74.26

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DIT Butterfly Map → + Track DIT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #522 of 1011 ⚔️ HFFG vs DIT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIT vs. HFFG, MWYN, RAVE, UNFI)

Industry: Food Distributors (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) ranks #522 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #794 by equity capitalization ($61.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RAVE leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while RAVE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. RAVE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DIT at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DIT ACTIVE AMCON Distributing Company	D+	56/100	107.3x	6.7%	8.7%	0.00%	$61.0M	Benchmark Subject
HFFG HF Foods Group Inc.	D	48/100	—	16.9%	-8.6%	+0.69%	$80.6M	/hffg-vs-dit →
MWYN Marwynn Holdings Inc.	D	47/100	—	15.3%	-35.0%	+24.82%	$35.5M	/mwyn-vs-dit →
RAVE Rave Restaurant Group Inc.	B-	71/100	10.9x	—	18.4%	-1.13%	$31.3M	/rave-vs-dit →
UNFI United Natural Foods Inc.	D+	53/100	—	13.3%	-1.6%	-3.25%	$2.78B	/unfi-vs-dit →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000928465

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.82B (+3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B ) , GAAP net income of $568.7K, operating cash flow of $18.7M, and free cash flow of $9.7M (-79.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIT closed FY2025 with $378.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.82B	$568.7K	$18.7M	$9.7M	$378.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.71B	$4.3M	$67.9M	$47.4M	$404.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$0	$11.6M	$19.7M	$19.7M	—	—

3. DIT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AMCON Distributing Company (NYSE: DIT) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $62.50 (0.00% 1D, market cap $61.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIT ranks #522 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DIT compare to HFFG and MWYN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Food Distributors), DIT carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 107.3x, gross margin of 6.7%, and ROIC of 8.7%. By comparison, HFFG (HF Foods Group Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $80.6M) and MWYN (Marwynn Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $35.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RAVE leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while RAVE leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIT?

Per DIT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000928465), AMCON Distributing Company generated $2.82B in revenue (+3.9% YoY), $568.7K in net income, and $9.7M in free cash flow against $378.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DIT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIT last traded at $62.50 (0.00% on volume of 14 shares), positioning the stock -4.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($65.44) and -15.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.26). Across its 52-week range of $59.15 to $95.59, DIT sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($59.00 to $66.00).