Stock Ratings / Materials / DC / dividends

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Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$5.47 -3.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.43

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $733.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.43 (-0.76%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DC SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.08-9.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.51-4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$5.27+3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.47-8.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DC currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.91) and Max Pain ($5.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DC)

✓Walkthrough of DC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.67%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $5.19H $5.47L $4.93C $5.47VOL 1.23M

RES: $7.55SUP: $6.40SMA50: $5.91SMA200: $5.59

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DC Butterfly Map → + Track DC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DC)

Materials Rank #237 of 270 ⚔️ LAR vs DC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (DC vs. LAR, GSM, LAC, ASM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) ranks #237 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #156 by equity capitalization ($733.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LAC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with DC at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DC ACTIVE Dakota Gold Corp.	D-	35/100	—	—	-29.3%	-3.19%	$733.9M	Benchmark Subject
LAR Lithium Argentina AG	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.98%	$730.2M	/lar-vs-dc →
GSM Ferroglobe PLC	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.12%	$749.3M	/gsm-vs-dc →
LAC Lithium Americas Corp.	D-	37/100	—	—	-8.1%	-1.84%	$773.3M	/lac-vs-dc →
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-3.76%	$779.4M	/asm-vs-dc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001852353

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$29.5M, operating cash flow of -$25.4M, and free cash flow of -$25.6M (+18.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DC closed FY2025 with $115.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$29.5M	-$25.4M	-$25.6M	$115.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$33.9M	-$31.5M	-$31.6M	$95.4M	—

3. DC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dakota Gold Corp. (NYSE: DC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $5.47 (-3.19% 1D, market cap $733.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DC ranks #237 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DC compare to LAR and GSM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), DC carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -29.3%. By comparison, LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $730.2M) and GSM (Ferroglobe PLC) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $749.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LAC leads on capital efficiency (-8.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DC?

Per DC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001852353), Dakota Gold Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$29.5M in net income, and -$25.6M in free cash flow against $115.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DC last traded at $5.47 (-3.19% on volume of 663,394 shares), positioning the stock -7.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.91) and -2.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.59). Across its 52-week range of $3.87 to $7.25, DC sits at the 47.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($4.92 to $6.02).

DC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does DC pay a dividend and is it safe?

Dakota Gold Corp. (DC) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: DC RQD Cockpit DC 12M Forecast DC Earnings & Move DC Dividends & DRIP DC Insiders & 13F DC Whale Options DC Profit Sankey DC News & Why