Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.5% Move

$59.14 +1.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $59.22

Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.99B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $59.22 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 7.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$97 Bull$60 Base$47 Bear
📬 FREE DBD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DBD SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 16% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 27.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$63.67+5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$66.83+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$69.18-14.5% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$59.14+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DBD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, DBD faces multiple-compression risk if 21.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.15) or 200D SMA ($74.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($59.94) toward Bear Floor ($46.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DBD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.5% Swing Band

±$5.03 Expected Swing
$54.11 (-8.5%)Spot $59.14$64.17 (+8.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DBD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $2.82 • YoY Revenue Growth: 1.5%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$3.81B$94.6M$300.7M25.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$3.75B-$16.5M$149.2M24.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DBD & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DBD
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.00%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $58.39H $59.14L $52.87C $59.14VOL 739.9K
RES: $105.4SUP: $53.42SMA50: $65.15SMA200: $74.96
$94.82$83.45$72.08$60.71$49.34RES $105.4SUP $53.42$59.142026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DBD)

Industrials Rank #153 of 485 ⚔️ PBI vs DBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DBD vs. PBI, NATL, VYX, PAR)

Industry: Office Equipment/Supplies/Services (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) ranks #153 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #211 by equity capitalization ($1.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PBI leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while NATL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PBI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with DBD at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DBD ACTIVE
Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated
C- 61/100 21.0x 25.3% 11.5% +1.84% $1.99B Benchmark Subject
PBI
Pitney Bowes Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.6x — — -5.62% $2.26B /pbi-vs-dbd →
NATL
NCR Atleos Corporation
D+ 56/100 20.9x — 14.4% +0.93% $3.38B /natl-vs-dbd →
VYX
NCR Voyix Corporation
E 31/100 18.3x — 1.1% +3.27% $1.13B /vyx-vs-dbd →
PAR
PAR Technology Corporation
E 31/100 — 43.5% -4.9% +3.55% $736.3M /par-vs-dbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000028823

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD) reported GAAP revenue of $3.81B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.75B ) , GAAP net income of $94.6M, operating cash flow of $300.7M, and free cash flow of $300.7M (+101.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DBD closed FY2025 with $3.85B in total assets against $938.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.81B $94.6M $300.7M $300.7M $3.85B $938.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.75B -$16.5M $149.2M $149.2M $3.54B $927.3M

3. DBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (NYSE: DBD) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $59.14 (+1.84% 1D, market cap $1.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DBD ranks #153 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DBD compare to PBI and NATL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Office Equipment/Supplies/Services), DBD carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.0x, gross margin of 25.3%, and ROIC of 11.5%. By comparison, PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC —, cap $2.26B) and NATL (NCR Atleos Corporation) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 20.9x, ROIC 14.4%, cap $3.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PBI leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while NATL leads on capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DBD?

Per DBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000028823), Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated generated $3.81B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $94.6M in net income, and $300.7M in free cash flow against $3.85B in total assets and $938.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DBD last traded at $59.14 (+1.84% on volume of 685,821 shares), positioning the stock -9.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($65.15) and -21.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.96). Across its 52-week range of $52.87 to $92.09, DBD sits at the 16.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($54.11 to $64.17).

DBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DBD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated (DBD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DBD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.5% event move for DBD, spanning a range between $54.11 and $64.17.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%