China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$23.26 -3.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.09

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $872.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.09 (-0.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$65 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE CYD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CYD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CYD SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$29.82-12.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$26.02-10.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$23.23+0.1% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$23.26-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CYD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, CYD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.98) or 200D SMA ($42.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.05) toward Bear Floor ($17.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CYD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CYD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±10.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CYD)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CYD.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CYD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CYD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CYD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.56%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $22.91H $23.31L $22.02C $23.26VOL 137.6K
RES: $37.24SUP: $25.94SMA50: $31.98SMA200: $42.81
$64.24$52.80$41.36$29.91$18.47RES $37.24SUP $25.94$23.262026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CYD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CYD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CYD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CYD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CYD)

Industrials Rank #234 of 485 ⚔️ GHM vs CYD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CYD vs. GHM, KRNT, ENVX, MLAB)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) ranks #234 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #262 by equity capitalization ($872.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHM leads on earnings valuation at 67.3x trailing P/E, while GHM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and 23.5% gross margin. CYD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CYD ACTIVE
China Yuchai International Limited
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.08% $872.7M Benchmark Subject
GHM
Graham Corporation
D+ 52/100 67.3x 23.5% 10.9% +0.75% $841.4M /ghm-vs-cyd →
KRNT
Kornit Digital Ltd.
D 50/100 — 44.3% -4.0% +0.11% $780.7M /krnt-vs-cyd →
ENVX
Enovix Corporation
E 31/100 — 19.2% -20.5% -0.28% $770.3M /envx-vs-cyd →
MLAB
Mesa Laboratories Inc.
D+ 55/100 110.9x 63.5% 9.3% +1.30% $744.4M /mlab-vs-cyd →

2. CYD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $872.7M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. CYD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, China Yuchai International Limited (NYSE: CYD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $23.26 (-3.08% 1D, market cap $872.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CYD ranks #234 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CYD compare to GHM and KRNT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CYD carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GHM (Graham Corporation) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 67.3x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $841.4M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $780.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CYD?

For China Yuchai International Limited (CYD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #234 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CYD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CYD last traded at $23.26 (-3.08% on volume of 92,102 shares), positioning the stock -27.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.98) and -45.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.81). Across its 52-week range of $22.02 to $61.48, CYD sits at the 3.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($20.82 to $25.70).

CYD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CYD's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CYD.

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