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Graham Corporation (GHM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$71.69 +0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $71.65

Graham Corporation (GHM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $841.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $71.65 (-0.05%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GHM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GHM SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$82.37-16.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$68.48-3.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$66.10+8.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$71.69-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GHM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GHM currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($82.44) and Max Pain ($75.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $132.11.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GHM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GHM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

36.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.67>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE26% OF RANGE

L: $53$71.69H: $126

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GHM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

10.9% ROIC with 23.5% gross margin and -0.01% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 4.67 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GHM

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Priced at 67x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GHM)

✓Walkthrough of GHM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GHM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.70%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $68.91H $71.69L $67.84C $71.69VOL 136.9K

RES: $101.9SUP: $59.42SMA50: $82.44SMA200: $91.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GHM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GHM Butterfly Map → + Track GHM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

44.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GHM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GHM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GHM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GHM)

Industrials Rank #274 of 485 ⚔️ CYD vs GHM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GHM vs. CYD, KRNT, ENVX, MLAB)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Graham Corporation (GHM) ranks #274 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #267 by equity capitalization ($841.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHM leads on earnings valuation at 67.3x trailing P/E, while GHM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and 23.5% gross margin. CYD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with GHM at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GHM ACTIVE Graham Corporation	D+	52/100	67.3x	23.5%	10.9%	+0.75%	$841.4M	Benchmark Subject
CYD China Yuchai International Limited	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.08%	$872.7M	/cyd-vs-ghm →
KRNT Kornit Digital Ltd.	D	50/100	—	44.3%	-4.0%	+0.11%	$780.7M	/krnt-vs-ghm →
ENVX Enovix Corporation	E	31/100	—	19.2%	-20.5%	-0.28%	$770.3M	/envx-vs-ghm →
MLAB Mesa Laboratories Inc.	D+	55/100	110.9x	63.5%	9.3%	+1.30%	$744.4M	/mlab-vs-ghm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000716314

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Graham Corporation (GHM) reported GAAP revenue of $245.3M (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $209.9M , and +32.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.5M, operating cash flow of $15.9M, and free cash flow of -$121.0K (-102.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GHM closed FY2025 with $292.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.67, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$245.3M	$12.5M	$15.9M	-$121.0K	$292.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$209.9M	$12.2M	$24.3M	$5.4M	$264.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$185.5M	$4.6M	$28.1M	$28.1M	—	—

3. GHM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GHM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Graham Corporation (NYSE: GHM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $71.69 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $841.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GHM ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GHM compare to CYD and KRNT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), GHM carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.3x, gross margin of 23.5%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CYD (China Yuchai International Limited) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $872.7M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $780.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GHM?

Per GHM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000716314), Graham Corporation generated $245.3M in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and -$121.0K in free cash flow against $292.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GHM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GHM last traded at $71.69 (+0.75% on volume of 126,956 shares), positioning the stock -13.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($82.44) and -21.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($91.32). Across its 52-week range of $52.57 to $125.82, GHM sits at the 26.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($64.16 to $79.22).

GHM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GHM stock right now?

Graham Corporation (GHM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 67x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GHM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GHM's 12-month base price target is $69.75 (range $54.41 to $132.11), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: GHM RQD Cockpit GHM 12M Forecast GHM Earnings & Move GHM Dividends & DRIP GHM Insiders & 13F GHM Whale Options GHM Profit Sankey GHM News & Why