MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
Why CVU Stock advanced +1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.96 +1.02% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.96
CPI Aerostructures Inc. (CVU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $65.7M
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Is CVU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, CPI Aerostructures Inc. (NYSE: CVU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $4.96 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $65.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CVU ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CVU compare to MNTS and SLND in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CVU carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.2%, and ROIC of -0.5%. By comparison, MNTS (Momentus Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.8M) and SLND (Southland Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $44.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVU leads on capital efficiency (-0.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVU?
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Per CVU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889348), CPI Aerostructures Inc. generated $69.3M in revenue (-14.6% YoY), -$843.4K in net income, and -$5.3M in free cash flow against $75.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.96 (-0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CVU SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (36% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.9% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$5.10-7.8% Next Q
36
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$4.70+1.5% Next Q
33
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$4.77+4% Next Q
31
CurrentGrade E$4.96-10% Hist 90D α
28
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CVU Turnaround Squeeze
While CVU currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.07) and Max Pain ($5.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.28.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CVU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CVU Stock advanced +1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CPI Aerostructures Inc. (CVU) advanced +1.02% to $4.96, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($2.02 – $5.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($2.02 – $5.98) with RSI-14 at 49.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $4.96 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 15.2% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CVU Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CVU)
- ✓Walkthrough of CVU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CVU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.53%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $4.91H $4.96L $4.91C $4.96VOL 35.3K
RES: $6.61SUP: $4.53SMA50: $5.07SMA200: $4.59
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CVU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -14.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVU today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVU)
Industrials Rank #434 of 485
⚔️ MNTS vs CVU Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CVU vs. MNTS, SLND, SHIM, LEGO)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CPI Aerostructures Inc. (CVU) ranks #434 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #392 by equity capitalization ($65.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CVU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.5% ROIC and 15.2% gross margin. LEGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with CVU at 28/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVU
ACTIVE
CPI Aerostructures Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 15.2% | -0.5% | +1.02% | $65.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| MNTS Momentus Inc. (Class A) | E | 26/100 | — | 96.0% | -35.0% | +0.47% | $46.8M | /mnts-vs-cvu → |
| SLND Southland Holdings Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | -20.1% | -35.0% | -0.70% | $44.0M | /slnd-vs-cvu → |
| SHIM Shimmick Corporation | E | 11/100 | — | 6.8% | -35.0% | -2.65% | $106.2M | /shim-vs-cvu → |
| LEGO Legato Merger Corp. IV | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | +0.10% | $302.8M | /lego-vs-cvu → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000889348In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CPI Aerostructures Inc. (CVU) reported GAAP revenue of $69.3M (-14.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $81.1M , and -19.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$843.4K, operating cash flow of -$5.2M, and free cash flow of -$5.3M (-266.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVU closed FY2025 with $75.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.12, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $69.3M | -$843.4K | -$5.2M | -$5.3M | $75.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $81.1M | $3.3M | $3.6M | $3.2M | $68.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $86.5M | $17.2M | $3.9M | $3.9M | — | — |
3. CVU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CVU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, CPI Aerostructures Inc. (NYSE: CVU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $4.96 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $65.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CVU ranks #434 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CVU compare to MNTS and SLND in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), CVU carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.2%, and ROIC of -0.5%. By comparison, MNTS (Momentus Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.8M) and SLND (Southland Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $44.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CVU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVU leads on capital efficiency (-0.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVU?
Per CVU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889348), CPI Aerostructures Inc. generated $69.3M in revenue (-14.6% YoY), -$843.4K in net income, and -$5.3M in free cash flow against $75.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CVU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CVU last traded at $4.96 (+1.02% on volume of 35,328 shares), positioning the stock -2.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.07) and +8.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.59). Across its 52-week range of $2.02 to $5.98, CVU sits at the 74.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($4.57 to $5.35).
CVU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CVU stock moving today?
Why CVU Stock advanced +1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.