Centuri Holdings has climbed recently after a weak start to the year, which puts a spotlight on one core issue for investors who care about fundamentals. Is the current share price properly anchored to the cash flows thi
Why CTRI Stock surged +2.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Centuri Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CTRI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $21.54 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $2.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CTRI ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CTRI compare to VET and BKV in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CTRI carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 97.1x, gross margin of 8.3%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, VET (Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.07B) and BKV (BKV Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRI?
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Per CTRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001981599), Centuri Holdings Inc. generated $2.98B in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $22.4M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $708.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 2.34 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CTRI Turnaround Squeeze
While CTRI currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.35) and Max Pain ($22.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.14.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why CTRI Stock surged +2.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) surged +2.67% to $21.54, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($18.6 – $42.99). Stretched risk/reward at 97x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($18.6 – $42.99) with RSI-14 at 60.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.6% around $21.54 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 8.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
MYR (MYRG) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +23.63% and +5.39%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Schechtman maintains Centuri Holdings (NYSE:CTRI) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $29 to $28.
PHOENIX, October 22, 2026--Centuri Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CTRI) ("Centuri" or the "Company"), a leading, North American utility and energy infrastructure services company, today announced that it will report third quarter
CUPERTINO, Calif., Oct. 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX), a diversified renewable natural gas and biofuels company, announced today that its Aemetis Biogas subsidiary has completed construction a
JP Morgan analyst Mark Strouse maintains Centuri Holdings (NYSE:CTRI) with a Underweight and lowers the price target from $23 to $22.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTRI)
- ✓Walkthrough of CTRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CTRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTRI)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CTRI vs. VET, BKV, NEXT, EROK)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) ranks #160 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #115 by equity capitalization ($2.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKV leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while BKV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with CTRI at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRI
ACTIVE
Centuri Holdings Inc. | D | 47/100 | 97.1x | 8.3% | 5.0% | +2.67% | $2.17B | Benchmark Subject |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -0.95% | $2.07B | /vet-vs-ctri → |
| BKV BKV Corporation | D | 49/100 | 12.8x | — | 9.0% | -1.09% | $2.29B | /bkv-vs-ctri → |
| NEXT NextDecade Corporation | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -2.1% | +11.52% | $1.93B | /next-vs-ctri → |
| EROK EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A) | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -1.69% | $2.68B | /erok-vs-ctri → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001981599In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.98B (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.64B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.4M, operating cash flow of $78.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.2M (-113.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTRI closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $708.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $2.98B | $22.4M | $78.1M | -$8.2M | $2.41B | $708.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $2.64B | -$6.7M | $158.2M | $58.9M | $2.07B | $843.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.90B | -$186.2M | $167.5M | $167.5M | — | — |
3. CTRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Centuri Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CTRI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $21.54 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $2.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CTRI ranks #160 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CTRI compare to VET and BKV in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CTRI carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 97.1x, gross margin of 8.3%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, VET (Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.07B) and BKV (BKV Corporation) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRI?
Per CTRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001981599), Centuri Holdings Inc. generated $2.98B in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $22.4M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $708.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CTRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CTRI last traded at $21.54 (+2.67% on volume of 3,652,407 shares), positioning the stock +5.85% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.35) and -21.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.39). Across its 52-week range of $18.60 to $42.99, CTRI sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($19.69 to $23.39).
CTRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CTRI stock moving today?
Why CTRI Stock surged +2.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 97x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.