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Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.54 +2.67% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.60

Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.17B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CTRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Centuri Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CTRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $21.54 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $2.17B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CTRI ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CTRI compare to VET and BKV in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CTRI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 97.1x, gross margin of 8.3%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, VET (Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.07B) and BKV (BKV Corporation) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRI?

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Per CTRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001981599), Centuri Holdings Inc. generated $2.98B in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $22.4M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $708.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.60 (+0.29%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CTRI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.34 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$20.65-0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$20.51-1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$20.13+7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$21.54-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CTRI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CTRI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.36) and Max Pain ($22.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CTRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CTRI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.54: 464.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.98

$6,955

$-3,045 (-30.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.21

$8,918

$-1,082 (-10.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $45.14

$20,956

+$10,956 (+109.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$20	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$42	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$17	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTRI)

✓Walkthrough of CTRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CTRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.18%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $20.98H $21.54L $20.98C $21.54VOL 3.65M

RES: $21.74SUP: $16.21SMA50: $20.36SMA200: $27.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CTRI Butterfly Map → + Track CTRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTRI)

Energy Rank #188 of 211 ⚔️ VET vs CTRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CTRI vs. VET, BKV, NEXT, EROK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #115 by equity capitalization ($2.17B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKV leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while BKV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with CTRI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CTRI ACTIVE Centuri Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	97.1x	8.3%	5.0%	+2.67%	$2.17B	Benchmark Subject
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)	C	63/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$2.07B	/vet-vs-ctri →
BKV BKV Corporation	D-	37/100	12.8x	—	9.0%	-1.09%	$2.29B	/bkv-vs-ctri →
NEXT NextDecade Corporation	D-	38/100	—	—	-2.1%	+11.52%	$1.93B	/next-vs-ctri →
EROK EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	—	-1.69%	$2.68B	/erok-vs-ctri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001981599

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.98B (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.64B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.4M, operating cash flow of $78.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.2M (-113.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTRI closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $708.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$2.98B	$22.4M	$78.1M	-$8.2M	$2.41B	$708.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-29	$2.64B	-$6.7M	$158.2M	$58.9M	$2.07B	$843.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.90B	-$186.2M	$167.5M	$167.5M	—	—

3. CTRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CTRI compare to VET and BKV in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRI?

Where is CTRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTRI last traded at $21.54 (+2.67% on volume of 3,652,407 shares), positioning the stock +5.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.36) and -21.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.36). Across its 52-week range of $18.60 to $42.99, CTRI sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($19.69 to $23.39).

CTRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CTRI's 12-month stock price target?

Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $19.21 (-10.8% from $21.54), with a bull-case target of $45.14 and a bear-case floor of $14.98.

Is CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates CTRI E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 34/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: CTRI RQD Cockpit CTRI 12M Forecast CTRI Earnings & Move CTRI Dividends & DRIP CTRI Insiders & 13F CTRI Whale Options CTRI Profit Sankey CTRI News & Why