Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CRI / dividends

GIII (73) REF (63) CPRI (53) GOOS (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Carter's Inc. (CRI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$33.38 +7.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.91

Carter's Inc. (CRI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (45% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.91 (+1.60%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CRI SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 33% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5% operating margin leave 8 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$32.36-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$31.45+3.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$32.60+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B$33.38+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, CRI faces multiple-compression risk if 13.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($31.98) or 200D SMA ($36.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.48) toward Bear Floor ($27.37).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

6.4% Total Yield

4.6% Cash ($1.54/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

53.4% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $25,703

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,645/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.0K

Yr 1

$12.1K

Yr 2

$13.3K

Yr 3

$14.6K

Yr 4

$16.0K

Yr 5

$17.6K

Yr 6

$19.4K

Yr 7

$21.3K

Yr 8

$23.4K

Yr 9

$25.7K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in CRI & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on CRI and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.59%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $32.40H $33.38L $31.05C $33.38VOL 1.85M

RES: $33.21SUP: $22.82SMA50: $31.98SMA200: $36.25

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRI Butterfly Map → + Track CRI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #134 of 1011 ⚔️ GIII vs CRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CRI vs. GIII, REF, CPRI, GOOS)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carter's Inc. (CRI) ranks #134 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #487 by equity capitalization ($1.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRI leads on earnings valuation at 13.3x trailing P/E, while CRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.3% ROIC and 45.4% gross margin. GIII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CRI at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CRI ACTIVE Carter's Inc.	B	72/100	13.3x	45.4%	11.3%	+7.54%	$1.23B	Benchmark Subject
GIII G-III Apparel Group LTD.	B	73/100	—	39.4%	6.3%	+3.80%	$1.30B	/giii-vs-cri →
REF Reformation Inc.	C	63/100	—	—	—	+2.66%	$958.3M	/ref-vs-cri →
CPRI Capri Holdings Limited	D+	53/100	23.1x	62.3%	10.4%	+5.04%	$1.83B	/cpri-vs-cri →
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares	C	63/100	—	—	—	+3.34%	$785.2M	/goos-vs-cri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001060822

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Carter's Inc. (CRI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.84B , and -1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $91.8M, operating cash flow of $122.3M, and free cash flow of $68.6M (-71.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRI closed FY2025 with $2.57B in total assets against $567.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.63, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$2.90B	$91.8M	$122.3M	$68.6M	$2.57B	$567.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$2.84B	$185.5M	$298.8M	$242.6M	$2.43B	$498.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$2.95B	$232.5M	$529.1M	$529.1M	—	—

3. CRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Carter's Inc. (NYSE: CRI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $33.38 (+7.54% 1D, market cap $1.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CRI ranks #134 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRI compare to GIII and REF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), CRI carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.3x, gross margin of 45.4%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, GIII (G-III Apparel Group LTD.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.3%, cap $1.30B) and REF (Reformation Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $958.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRI leads on earnings multiple (13.3x) while CRI leads on capital efficiency (11.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRI?

Per CRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001060822), Carter's Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $91.8M in net income, and $68.6M in free cash flow against $2.57B in total assets and $567.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRI last traded at $33.38 (+7.54% on volume of 2,053,623 shares), positioning the stock +4.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($31.98) and -7.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.25). Across its 52-week range of $27.86 to $44.44, CRI sits at the 33.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($30.58 to $36.18).

CRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CRI pay a dividend and is it safe?

Carter's Inc. (CRI) offers a 4.6% cash dividend yield ($1.54 annualized) and 6.4% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: CRI RQD Cockpit CRI 12M Forecast CRI Earnings & Move CRI Dividends & DRIP CRI Insiders & 13F CRI Whale Options CRI Profit Sankey CRI News & Why