MARKET WIREYahoo • 7h ago
Earnings to watch: California Resources (CRC) reports Q3 results tomorrowOil and gas producer California Resources (NYSE:CRC) will be reporting earnings tomorrow after market hours. Here’s what investors should know.
Why CRC Stock slipped -0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$54.67 -0.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.79
California Resources Corporation (CRC) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $4.86B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, California Resources Corporation (NYSE: CRC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $54.67 (-0.09% 1D, market cap $4.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRC ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CRC compare to PTEN and CRGY in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRC carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.84B) and CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNX leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while CRC leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRC?
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Per CRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001609253), California Resources Corporation generated $2.91B in revenue (+14.7% YoY), $363.0M in net income, and $543.0M in free cash flow against $7.40B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.79 (+0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 18.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRC SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 40% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$52.96+2.6% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$54.33+0.4% Next Q
66
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$54.53+0.3% Next Q
68
CurrentGrade B-$54.67+6.8% Hist 90D α
71
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, CRC faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($53.61) or 200D SMA ($57.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.87) toward Bear Floor ($44.83).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CRC Stock slipped -0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
California Resources Corporation (CRC) slipped -0.09% to $54.67, trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($43.25 – $71.98). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 40% of its 52-week range ($43.25 – $71.98) with RSI-14 at 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $54.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $543.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CRC Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
2 Russell 2000 stocks to consider right now and 1 facing challengesThe Russell 2000 (^RUT) is packed with potential breakout stocks, thanks to its focus on smaller companies with high growth potential. However, smaller size also means these businesses often lack the resilience and finan
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Murphy Oil (MUR) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?Murphy Oil (MUR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Oil Stocks Facing Supply Shock as Brent Tops $115Energy headlines have suddenly become front-page market stories again, as renewed Houthi attacks near Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura hub coincide with Brent above about $115.70 and WTI around $101.20. That mix of conflict ris
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
2 energy stocks with exciting potential and 1 we avoidEnergy businesses quietly power the physical things we depend on, from cars and homes to e-commerce infrastructure. Unfortunately, this role also comes with a demand profile tethered to the ebbs and flows of the energy i
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
Analysts Estimate California Resources Corporation (CRC) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out forCalifornia Resources (CRC) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CRC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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CRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.91%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $55.11H $55.70L $54.67C $54.67VOL 860.2K
RES: $60.04SUP: $47.64SMA50: $53.61SMA200: $57.12
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRC today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRC)
Energy Rank #32 of 211
⚔️ PTEN vs CRC Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRC vs. PTEN, CRGY, CNX, CRK)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California Resources Corporation (CRC) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #86 by equity capitalization ($4.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNX leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while CRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.8% ROIC and — gross margin. CRC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRC
ACTIVE
California Resources Corporation | B- | 71/100 | 13.4x | — | 9.8% | -0.09% | $4.86B | Benchmark Subject |
| PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy Inc. | C | 64/100 | — | — | -0.8% | +0.71% | $4.84B | /pten-vs-crc → |
| CRGY Crescent Energy Company | C- | 60/100 | 34.2x | — | 1.7% | 0.00% | $4.54B | /crgy-vs-crc → |
| CNX CNX Resources Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 8.6x | — | 9.3% | -3.31% | $5.44B | /cnx-vs-crc → |
| CRK Comstock Resources Inc. | D | 44/100 | 10.8x | — | 9.4% | -1.88% | $4.28B | /crk-vs-crc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001609253In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California Resources Corporation (CRC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.54B , and +35.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $363.0M, operating cash flow of $865.0M, and free cash flow of $543.0M (+53.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRC closed FY2025 with $7.40B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.91B | $363.0M | $865.0M | $543.0M | $7.40B | $1.28B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.54B | $376.0M | $610.0M | $355.0M | $7.13B | $1.13B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.15B | $564.0M | $653.0M | $653.0M | — | — |
3. CRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, California Resources Corporation (NYSE: CRC) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $54.67 (-0.09% 1D, market cap $4.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRC ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CRC compare to PTEN and CRGY in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRC carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.84B) and CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNX leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while CRC leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRC?
Per CRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001609253), California Resources Corporation generated $2.91B in revenue (+14.7% YoY), $363.0M in net income, and $543.0M in free cash flow against $7.40B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CRC last traded at $54.67 (-0.09% on volume of 632,914 shares), positioning the stock +1.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($53.61) and -4.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($57.12). Across its 52-week range of $43.25 to $71.98, CRC sits at the 39.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($51.17 to $58.17).
CRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CRC stock moving today?
Why CRC Stock slipped -0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.