Stock Ratings / Energy / CRC / financials

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California Resources Corporation (CRC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$54.67 -0.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.56

California Resources Corporation (CRC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.86B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, California Resources Corporation (NYSE: CRC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $54.67 (-0.09% 1D, market cap $4.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CRC ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRC compare to PTEN and CRGY in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CRC carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, PTEN (Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.8%, cap $4.84B) and CRGY (Crescent Energy Company) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 34.2x, ROIC 1.7%, cap $4.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNX leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while CRC leads on capital efficiency (9.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRC?

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Per CRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001609253), California Resources Corporation generated $2.91B in revenue (+14.7% YoY), $363.0M in net income, and $543.0M in free cash flow against $7.40B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.56 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 18.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CRC SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.7% FCF Margin ($543.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$53.52+1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$54.38+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$54.75-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$54.67+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, CRC faces multiple-compression risk if 13.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($53.64) or 200D SMA ($57.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($56.88) toward Bear Floor ($44.37).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CRC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$543.0M (18.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.15B

FY24

Rev $2.54B

FY25

Rev $2.91B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.91B	52%	20.5%	$363.0M	$543.0M	9.8%
FY 2024	$2.54B	52%	24.4%	$376.0M	$355.0M	11.4%
FY 2023	$2.15B	52%	37.5%	$564.0M	$653.0M	9.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CRC)

✓Walkthrough of CRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $54.72H $54.72L $54.67C $54.67VOL 632.9K

RES: $60.11SUP: $47.56SMA50: $53.64SMA200: $57.15

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRC Butterfly Map → + Track CRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRC)

Energy Rank #57 of 211 ⚔️ PTEN vs CRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CRC vs. PTEN, CRGY, CNX, CRK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, California Resources Corporation (CRC) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #86 by equity capitalization ($4.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNX leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while CRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.8% ROIC and — gross margin. CNX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CRC at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CRC ACTIVE California Resources Corporation	C+	67/100	13.4x	—	9.8%	-0.09%	$4.86B	Benchmark Subject
PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy Inc.	C	64/100	—	—	-0.8%	+0.71%	$4.84B	/pten-vs-crc →
CRGY Crescent Energy Company	C-	60/100	34.2x	—	1.7%	0.00%	$4.54B	/crgy-vs-crc →
CNX CNX Resources Corporation	B-	70/100	8.6x	—	9.3%	-3.31%	$5.44B	/cnx-vs-crc →
CRK Comstock Resources Inc.	D	46/100	10.8x	—	9.4%	-1.88%	$4.28B	/crk-vs-crc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001609253

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), California Resources Corporation (CRC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.91B (+14.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.54B , and +35.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $363.0M, operating cash flow of $865.0M, and free cash flow of $543.0M (+53.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRC closed FY2025 with $7.40B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.91B	$363.0M	$865.0M	$543.0M	$7.40B	$1.28B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.54B	$376.0M	$610.0M	$355.0M	$7.13B	$1.13B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.15B	$564.0M	$653.0M	$653.0M	—	—

3. CRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CRC compare to PTEN and CRGY in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRC?

Where is CRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRC last traded at $54.67 (-0.09% on volume of 632,914 shares), positioning the stock +1.92% above its 50-day simple moving average ($53.64) and -4.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($57.15). Across its 52-week range of $43.24 to $71.98, CRC sits at the 39.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($51.39 to $57.95).

CRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is California Resources Corporation (CRC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CRC converted $2.9B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 20.5% operating margin, and $543.0M in free cash flow (18.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: CRC RQD Cockpit CRC 12M Forecast CRC Earnings & Move CRC Dividends & DRIP CRC Insiders & 13F CRC Whale Options CRC Profit Sankey CRC News & Why