Stock Ratings / Real Estate / COE / options

IH (64) NRDY (40) CHGG (35) LFS (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A) (COE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$11.00 -4.93% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.88

51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A) (COE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $66.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.88 (-1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for COE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY COE SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10% FCF Margin ($9.5M FCF) & 73.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$12.22-7.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$11.34+3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$11.73-6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$11.00-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a COE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While COE currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.31) and Max Pain ($11.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $53.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $COE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “COE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (COE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for COE.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring COE)

✓Walkthrough of COE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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COE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.67%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $10.93H $12.27L $10.93C $11.00VOL 149.4K

RES: $12.15SUP: $6.78SMA50: $12.31SMA200: $19.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 COE Butterfly Map → + Track COE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +88.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (COE)

Real Estate Rank #31 of 51 ⚔️ IH vs COE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (COE vs. IH, NRDY, CHGG, LFS)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, 51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A) (COE) ranks #31 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #30 by equity capitalization ($66.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with COE at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
COE ACTIVE 51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)	D	48/100	—	73.9%	-35.0%	-4.93%	$66.1M	Benchmark Subject
IH iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)	C	64/100	4.4x	67.9%	85.0%	+1.72%	$60.3M	/ih-vs-coe →
NRDY Nerdy Inc. (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	58.0%	-35.0%	+2.95%	$75.9M	/nrdy-vs-coe →
CHGG Chegg Inc.	D-	35/100	—	59.6%	-35.0%	-0.72%	$76.8M	/chgg-vs-coe →
LFS LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.	B-	71/100	19.6x	29.5%	26.5%	0.00%	$54.9M	/lfs-vs-coe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001659494

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), 51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A) (COE) reported GAAP revenue of $95.6M (+88.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.7M , and +252.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$16.8M, operating cash flow of $11.8M, and free cash flow of $9.5M (+72.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, COE closed FY2025 with $66.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$95.6M	-$16.8M	$11.8M	$9.5M	$66.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$50.7M	-$7.2M	$5.8M	$5.5M	$43.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$27.1M	-$15.0M	$559.0K	$559.0K	—	—

3. COE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is COE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, 51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A) (NYSE: COE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $11.00 (-4.93% 1D, market cap $66.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, COE ranks #31 in composite RQD confidence.

How does COE compare to IH and NRDY in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), COE carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 73.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IH (iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $60.3M) and NRDY (Nerdy Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for COE?

Per COE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001659494), 51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A) generated $95.6M in revenue (+88.6% YoY), -$16.8M in net income, and $9.5M in free cash flow against $66.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is COE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

COE last traded at $11.00 (-4.93% on volume of 8,135 shares), positioning the stock -10.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.31) and -44.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.78). Across its 52-week range of $9.93 to $50.49, COE sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.62 to $12.38).

COE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is COE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for COE.

Direct Sub-Reports: COE RQD Cockpit COE 12M Forecast COE Earnings & Move COE Dividends & DRIP COE Insiders & 13F COE Whale Options COE Profit Sankey COE News & Why