MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CNXN Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$85.62 -1.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.30
PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $2.16B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.30 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNXN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNXN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 6.96 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$92.81-3.8% Next Q
70
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$89.32-0.7% Next Q
67
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$88.69-3.5% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C$85.62+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNXN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CNXN faces multiple-compression risk if 25.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.77) or 200D SMA ($72.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.16) toward Bear Floor ($67.98).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNXN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNXN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CNXN Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) slipped -1.02% to $85.62, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($54.97 – $96.91). Solid 19% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 26x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($54.97 – $96.91) with RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.7% around $85.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 18.8% gross margin and $58.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CNXN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CNXN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CNXN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $85.31H $87.36L $84.55C $85.62VOL 246.4K
RES: $99.06SUP: $84.43SMA50: $86.77SMA200: $72.38
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CNXN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNXN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNXN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNXN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNXN)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #357 of 1011
⚔️ GCT vs CNXN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNXN vs. GCT, RVLV, PTRN, LUXE)
Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) ranks #357 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #406 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with CNXN at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNXN
ACTIVE
PC Connection Inc. | C | 62/100 | 25.8x | 18.8% | 10.9% | -1.02% | $2.16B | Benchmark Subject |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A) | B | 75/100 | 15.8x | 23.3% | 85.0% | -0.02% | $2.16B | /gct-vs-cnxn → |
| RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) | B+ | 80/100 | 26.6x | 53.5% | 26.6% | +2.21% | $1.64B | /rvlv-vs-cnxn → |
| PTRN Pattern Group Inc. (Series A) | B- | 70/100 | — | 43.6% | 6.9% | +1.08% | $3.00B | /ptrn-vs-cnxn → |
| LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +5.99% | $1.33B | /luxe-vs-cnxn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001050377In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.80B , and +0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.7M, operating cash flow of $65.4M, and free cash flow of $58.0M (-65.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNXN closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.96, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.87B | $83.7M | $65.4M | $58.0M | $1.35B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.80B | $87.1M | $173.9M | $166.3M | $1.30B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.85B | $83.3M | $198.0M | $198.0M | — | — |
3. CNXN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $85.62 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #357 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CNXN compare to GCT and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.16B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?
Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CNXN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CNXN last traded at $85.62 (-1.02% on volume of 330,669 shares), positioning the stock -1.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.77) and +18.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.38). Across its 52-week range of $54.97 to $96.91, CNXN sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($79.88 to $91.36).
CNXN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CNXN stock moving today?
Why CNXN Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 19% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 26x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.