Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNXN / dividends

GCT (75) RVLV (80) PTRN (70) LUXE (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$85.62 -1.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.30

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.16B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.30 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNXN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNXN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.96 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$92.81-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$89.32-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$88.69-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$85.62+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNXN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CNXN faces multiple-compression risk if 25.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.77) or 200D SMA ($72.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.16) toward Bear Floor ($67.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNXN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNXN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.51% Total Yield

0.71% Cash ($0.61/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

17.2% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,908

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $450/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.2K

Yr 2

$11.9K

Yr 3

$12.6K

Yr 4

$13.4K

Yr 5

$14.2K

Yr 6

$15.0K

Yr 7

$15.9K

Yr 8

$16.9K

Yr 9

$17.9K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in CNXN & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on CNXN and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNXN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $85.31H $87.36L $84.55C $85.62VOL 246.4K

RES: $99.06SUP: $84.43SMA50: $86.77SMA200: $72.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNXN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNXN Butterfly Map → + Track CNXN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNXN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNXN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNXN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNXN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #357 of 1011 ⚔️ GCT vs CNXN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNXN vs. GCT, RVLV, PTRN, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) ranks #357 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #406 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with CNXN at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNXN ACTIVE PC Connection Inc.	C	62/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-1.02%	$2.16B	Benchmark Subject
GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	B	75/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-0.02%	$2.16B	/gct-vs-cnxn →
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	B+	80/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	+2.21%	$1.64B	/rvlv-vs-cnxn →
PTRN Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)	B-	70/100	—	43.6%	6.9%	+1.08%	$3.00B	/ptrn-vs-cnxn →
LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+5.99%	$1.33B	/luxe-vs-cnxn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001050377

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.80B , and +0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.7M, operating cash flow of $65.4M, and free cash flow of $58.0M (-65.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNXN closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.96, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.87B	$83.7M	$65.4M	$58.0M	$1.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.80B	$87.1M	$173.9M	$166.3M	$1.30B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.85B	$83.3M	$198.0M	$198.0M	—	—

3. CNXN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $85.62 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #357 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNXN compare to GCT and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.16B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?

Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNXN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNXN last traded at $85.62 (-1.02% on volume of 330,669 shares), positioning the stock -1.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.77) and +18.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.38). Across its 52-week range of $54.97 to $96.91, CNXN sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($79.88 to $91.36).

CNXN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CNXN pay a dividend and is it safe?

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) offers a 0.71% cash dividend yield ($0.61 annualized) and 2.51% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNXN RQD Cockpit CNXN 12M Forecast CNXN Earnings & Move CNXN Dividends & DRIP CNXN Insiders & 13F CNXN Whale Options CNXN Profit Sankey CNXN News & Why