Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CNXN / earnings

GCT (75) RVLV (80) PTRN (70) LUXE (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

$85.62 -1.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.30

PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.16B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNXN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, PC Connection Inc. (NASDAQ: CNXN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $85.62 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNXN ranks #357 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNXN compare to GCT and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), CNXN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.8x, gross margin of 18.8%, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.16B) and RVLV (Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $1.64B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?

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Per CNXN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001050377), PC Connection Inc. generated $2.87B in revenue (+2.5% YoY), $83.7M in net income, and $58.0M in free cash flow against $1.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.30 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNXN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNXN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.96 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$92.81-3.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$89.32-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$88.69-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$85.62+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CNXN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, CNXN faces multiple-compression risk if 25.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 16.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.77) or 200D SMA ($72.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.16) toward Bear Floor ($67.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNXN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNXN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$5.74 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CNXN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $3.32 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.5%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$2.87B	$83.7M	$58.0M	18.8%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$2.80B	$87.1M	$166.3M	18.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.85B	$83.3M	$198.0M	18.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CNXN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CNXN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNXN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $85.31H $87.36L $84.55C $85.62VOL 246.4K

RES: $99.06SUP: $84.43SMA50: $86.77SMA200: $72.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNXN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNXN Butterfly Map → + Track CNXN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNXN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNXN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNXN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNXN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #357 of 1011 ⚔️ GCT vs CNXN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNXN vs. GCT, RVLV, PTRN, LUXE)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) ranks #357 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #406 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. RVLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with CNXN at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNXN ACTIVE PC Connection Inc.	C	62/100	25.8x	18.8%	10.9%	-1.02%	$2.16B	Benchmark Subject
GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)	B	75/100	15.8x	23.3%	85.0%	-0.02%	$2.16B	/gct-vs-cnxn →
RVLV Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)	B+	80/100	26.6x	53.5%	26.6%	+2.21%	$1.64B	/rvlv-vs-cnxn →
PTRN Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)	B-	70/100	—	43.6%	6.9%	+1.08%	$3.00B	/ptrn-vs-cnxn →
LUXE LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+5.99%	$1.33B	/luxe-vs-cnxn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001050377

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PC Connection Inc. (CNXN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.87B (+2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.80B , and +0.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.7M, operating cash flow of $65.4M, and free cash flow of $58.0M (-65.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNXN closed FY2025 with $1.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.96, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.87B	$83.7M	$65.4M	$58.0M	$1.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.80B	$87.1M	$173.9M	$166.3M	$1.30B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.85B	$83.3M	$198.0M	$198.0M	—	—

3. CNXN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNXN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CNXN compare to GCT and RVLV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNXN?

Where is CNXN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNXN last traded at $85.62 (-1.02% on volume of 330,669 shares), positioning the stock -1.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.77) and +18.29% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.38). Across its 52-week range of $54.97 to $96.91, CNXN sits at the 73.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($79.88 to $91.36).

CNXN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CNXN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, PC Connection Inc. (CNXN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CNXN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.7% event move for CNXN, spanning a range between $79.88 and $91.36.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNXN RQD Cockpit CNXN 12M Forecast CNXN Earnings & Move CNXN Dividends & DRIP CNXN Insiders & 13F CNXN Whale Options CNXN Profit Sankey CNXN News & Why