Stock Ratings / Materials / CLW / insiders

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Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

Q: Is CLW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Clearwater Paper Corporation (NYSE: CLW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $12.98 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $209.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CLW ranks #225 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does CLW compare to MAGN and RYAM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Paper), CLW carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, MAGN (Magnera Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $432.5M) and RYAM (Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $452.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLVM leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SLVM leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLW?

Per CLW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001441236), Clearwater Paper Corporation generated $1.56B in revenue (+12.4% YoY), -$18.6M in net income, and -$76.5M in free cash flow against $1.59B in total assets and $345.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is CLW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLW last traded at $12.98 (-1.29% on volume of 412,969 shares), positioning the stock -33.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.61) and -23.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.06). Across its 52-week range of $11.73 to $23.59, CLW sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($11.41 to $14.55).

Q: Are CLW insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CLW leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

$12.98 -1.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.93

Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $209.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.93 (-0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CLW SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.05 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$18.97+1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$19.30-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$19.29-32.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$12.98-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CLW currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.61) and Max Pain ($13.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CLW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CLW Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CLW)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CLW. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLW)

✓Walkthrough of CLW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CLW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.32%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $12.76H $13.35L $12.45C $12.98VOL 347.0K

RES: $20.75SUP: $16.84SMA50: $19.61SMA200: $17.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CLW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CLW Butterfly Map → + Track CLW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLW)

Materials Rank #225 of 270 ⚔️ MAGN vs CLW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CLW vs. MAGN, RYAM, MATV, SLVM)

Industry: Paper (7 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) ranks #225 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #210 by equity capitalization ($209.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLVM leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while SLVM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SLVM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with CLW at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CLW ACTIVE Clearwater Paper Corporation	D-	39/100	—	7.4%	-2.9%	-1.29%	$209.5M	Benchmark Subject
MAGN Magnera Corporation	D	48/100	—	10.5%	0.1%	+2.20%	$432.5M	/magn-vs-clw →
RYAM Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.	D	47/100	—	8.1%	1.3%	-0.74%	$452.5M	/ryam-vs-clw →
MATV Mativ Holdings Inc.	D	45/100	—	18.3%	-21.2%	-0.97%	$620.9M	/matv-vs-clw →
SLVM Sylvamo Corporation	B	73/100	9.7x	—	20.5%	+1.32%	$1.29B	/slvm-vs-clw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001441236

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.56B (+12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.38B , and +36.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.6M, operating cash flow of $12.3M, and free cash flow of -$76.5M (-38.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLW closed FY2025 with $1.59B in total assets against $345.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.56B	-$18.6M	$12.3M	-$76.5M	$1.59B	$345.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.38B	$196.3M	$61.4M	-$55.2M	$1.68B	$281.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.14B	$107.7M	$190.7M	$190.7M	—	—

3. CLW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CLW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Clearwater Paper Corporation (NYSE: CLW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $12.98 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $209.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CLW ranks #225 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CLW compare to MAGN and RYAM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Paper), CLW carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, MAGN (Magnera Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.1%, cap $432.5M) and RYAM (Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.3%, cap $452.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLVM leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while SLVM leads on capital efficiency (20.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLW?

Per CLW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001441236), Clearwater Paper Corporation generated $1.56B in revenue (+12.4% YoY), -$18.6M in net income, and -$76.5M in free cash flow against $1.59B in total assets and $345.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CLW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CLW last traded at $12.98 (-1.29% on volume of 412,969 shares), positioning the stock -33.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.61) and -23.92% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.06). Across its 52-week range of $11.73 to $23.59, CLW sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.1% ($11.41 to $14.55).

CLW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CLW insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CLW leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: CLW RQD Cockpit CLW 12M Forecast CLW Earnings & Move CLW Dividends & DRIP CLW Insiders & 13F CLW Whale Options CLW Profit Sankey CLW News & Why