MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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Why CLST Stock surged +3.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.78 +3.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.84
Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $71.7M
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Is CLST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: CLST) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $17.78 (+3.07% 1D, market cap $71.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLST ranks #662 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CLST compare to HFBL and CPBI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLST carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, HFBL (Home Federal Bancorp Inc. of Louisiana) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $67.8M) and CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HFBL leads on earnings multiple (17.4x) while HFBL leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLST?
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Per CLST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849867), Catalyst Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.1M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $282.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.84 (+0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLST SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 60% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$16.80+1.1% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$16.99-0.6% Next Q
52
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$16.88+5.3% Next Q
54
CurrentGrade D+$17.78-0.2% Hist 90D α
57
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CLST Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CLST faces multiple-compression risk if 35.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.44) or 200D SMA ($16.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.70) toward Bear Floor ($13.81).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CLST Stock surged +3.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) surged +3.07% to $17.78, trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($13.66 – $20.5). Stretched risk/reward at 35x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 60% of its 52-week range ($13.66 – $20.5) with RSI-14 at 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±2.5% around $17.78 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.1M annual free cash flow.
Live CLST Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLST)
- ✓Walkthrough of CLST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CLST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.40%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $17.60H $17.78L $17.14C $17.78VOL 5.4K
RES: $19.29SUP: $16.39SMA50: $17.44SMA200: $16.61
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CLST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLST today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLST)
Financials Rank #662 of 1096
⚔️ HFBL vs CLST Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CLST vs. HFBL, CPBI, FDSB, BYFC)
Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) ranks #662 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #999 by equity capitalization ($71.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HFBL leads on earnings valuation at 17.4x trailing P/E, while HFBL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.7% ROIC and — gross margin. HFBL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CLST at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLST
ACTIVE
Catalyst Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 35.0x | — | 2.5% | +3.07% | $71.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| HFBL Home Federal Bancorp Inc. of Louisiana | B- | 70/100 | 17.4x | — | 6.7% | -1.67% | $67.8M | /hfbl-vs-clst → |
| CPBI Central Plains Bancshares Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 21.5x | — | 4.6% | 0.00% | $86.0M | /cpbi-vs-clst → |
| FDSB Fifth District Bancorp Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 22.3x | — | 3.2% | +0.51% | $91.4M | /fdsb-vs-clst → |
| BYFC Broadway Financial Corporation (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | -9.4% | +0.26% | $106.5M | /byfc-vs-clst → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001849867In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (CLST) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $2.1M, operating cash flow of $3.3M, and free cash flow of $3.1M (+13.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLST closed FY2025 with $282.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $2.1M | $3.3M | $3.1M | $282.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$3.1M | $3.2M | $2.7M | $276.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $526.0K | $2.0M | $2.0M | — | — |
3. CLST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CLST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Catalyst Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: CLST) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $17.78 (+3.07% 1D, market cap $71.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CLST ranks #662 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CLST compare to HFBL and CPBI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), CLST carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, HFBL (Home Federal Bancorp Inc. of Louisiana) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $67.8M) and CPBI (Central Plains Bancshares Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.5x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $86.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HFBL leads on earnings multiple (17.4x) while HFBL leads on capital efficiency (6.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLST?
Per CLST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001849867), Catalyst Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.1M in net income, and $3.1M in free cash flow against $282.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CLST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CLST last traded at $17.78 (+3.07% on volume of 4,801 shares), positioning the stock +1.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.44) and +7.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.61). Across its 52-week range of $13.66 to $20.50, CLST sits at the 60.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.5% ($17.34 to $18.22).
CLST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CLST stock moving today?
Why CLST Stock surged +3.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 35x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.