CATALYSTYahoo • 9d ago
Is MNTK Stock Still a Buy After Its 44% Six-Month Rally?Montauk Renewables' Turkey project, GreenWave income and improving production offer growth opportunities, but credit-price volatility and debt pose challenges.
Why CLNE Stock surged +4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.49 +4.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.50
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $328.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.50 (+0.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 14.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CLNE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CLNE SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (27% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.4% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.47+2% Next Q
43
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.50-2.7% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.46+2.1% Next Q
48
CurrentGrade D$1.49-1.3% Hist 90D α
51
Trajectory: D (43) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CLNE Turnaround Squeeze
While CLNE currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.56) and Max Pain ($1.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.06.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CLNE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CLNE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CLNE Stock surged +4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) surged +4.20% to $1.49, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($1.33 – $2.91). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($1.33 – $2.91) with RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.4% around $1.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $59.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CLNE Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 11d ago
Can Montauk Renewables' GreenWave JV Sustain Its Earnings Growth?Montauk Renewables is tapping third-party RNG supplies and environmental credit sales to diversify income, while RIN prices and transaction volumes remain key factors.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CLNE)
- ✓Walkthrough of CLNE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CLNE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.50H $1.50L $1.42C $1.49VOL 1.13M
RES: $2.59SUP: $1.26SMA50: $1.56SMA200: $2.02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CLNE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CLNE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CLNE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CLNE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CLNE)
Energy Rank #141 of 211
⚔️ MNTK vs CLNE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CLNE vs. MNTK, OPAL, SMC, TGS)
Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #164 by equity capitalization ($328.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLNE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while OPAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. SMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with CLNE at 51/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLNE
ACTIVE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | D | 51/100 | — | — | -20.0% | +4.20% | $328.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| MNTK Montauk Renewables Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | 0.2% | +5.33% | $337.3M | /mntk-vs-clne → |
| OPAL OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A) | D | 49/100 | — | — | 41.1% | +5.84% | $284.7M | /opal-vs-clne → |
| SMC Summit Midstream Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | — | 73.5% | 0.5% | +0.45% | $637.5M | /smc-vs-clne → |
| TGS Transportadora de Gas del Sur SA TGS | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -1.11% | $3.77B | /tgs-vs-clne → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001368265In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) reported GAAP revenue of $424.8M (+2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $415.9M , and -0.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$222.0M, operating cash flow of $85.5M, and free cash flow of $59.9M (+14418.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CLNE closed FY2025 with $1.06B in total assets against $226.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $424.8M | -$222.0M | $85.5M | $59.9M | $1.06B | $226.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $415.9M | -$83.1M | $64.6M | -$418.0K | $1.24B | $265.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $425.2M | -$99.5M | $43.8M | $43.8M | — | — |
3. CLNE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CLNE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ: CLNE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $1.49 (+4.20% 1D, market cap $328.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CLNE ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CLNE compare to MNTK and OPAL in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), CLNE carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -20.0%. By comparison, MNTK (Montauk Renewables Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $337.3M) and OPAL (OPAL Fuels Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 41.1%, cap $284.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLNE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while OPAL leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CLNE?
Per CLNE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001368265), Clean Energy Fuels Corp. generated $424.8M in revenue (+2.2% YoY), -$222.0M in net income, and $59.9M in free cash flow against $1.06B in total assets and $226.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CLNE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CLNE last traded at $1.49 (+4.20% on volume of 2,553,086 shares), positioning the stock -4.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.56) and -26.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.33 to $2.91, CLNE sits at the 10.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($1.31 to $1.67).
CLNE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CLNE stock moving today?
Why CLNE Stock surged +4.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.