Hercules Capital (HTGC) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -4.08% and -1.47%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Why CION Stock surged +4.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CION Investment Corporation (CION) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 28% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($76.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CION Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CION faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.04) or 200D SMA ($7.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.08) toward Bear Floor ($5.52).
Why CION Stock surged +4.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
CION Investment Corporation (CION) surged +4.56% to $7.11, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($5.83 – $10.4). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($5.83 – $10.4) with RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $7.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $76.8M annual free cash flow.
The plans call for Pearl to own the David’s Bridal’s brand and intellectual property, while David's Bridal's retail operations continue to be owned separately by CION Investment Corp.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CION)
- ✓Walkthrough of CION's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
CION Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CION today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CION. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CION)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CION vs. TCPC, SDHY, FINS, RFMZ)
Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CION Investment Corporation (CION) ranks #646 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #781 by equity capitalization ($349.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CION leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.9% ROIC and — gross margin. FINS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CION at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CION
ACTIVE
CION Investment Corporation | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | -2.9% | +4.56% | $349.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| TCPC BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -14.9% | +1.69% | $354.1M | /tcpc-vs-cion → |
| SDHY PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | +1.32% | $379.7M | /sdhy-vs-cion → |
| FINS Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust of | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +1.10% | $299.0M | /fins-vs-cion → |
| RFMZ RiverNorth Flexible Municipal Income Fund II Inc. | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.92% | $295.4M | /rfmz-vs-cion → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534254In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CION Investment Corporation (CION) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$20.6M, operating cash flow of $76.8M, and free cash flow of $76.8M (-12.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CION closed FY2025 with $1.85B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$20.6M | $76.8M | $76.8M | $1.85B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $33.9M | $88.2M | $88.2M | $1.95B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $95.3M | -$97.2M | -$97.2M | — | — |
3. CION Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, CION Investment Corporation (NYSE: CION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.11 (+4.56% 1D, market cap $349.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CION ranks #646 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CION compare to TCPC and SDHY in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), CION carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, TCPC (BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $354.1M) and SDHY (PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $379.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CION leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CION leads on capital efficiency (-2.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CION?
Per CION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534254), CION Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$20.6M in net income, and $76.8M in free cash flow against $1.85B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CION trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CION last traded at $7.11 (+4.56% on volume of 405,754 shares), positioning the stock +0.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.04) and -1.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.24). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $10.40, CION sits at the 28.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($6.65 to $7.57).
CION Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CION stock moving today?
Why CION Stock surged +4.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.