Stock Ratings / Financials / CION / earnings

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CION Investment Corporation (CION) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$7.11 +4.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.15

CION Investment Corporation (CION) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $349.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.15 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CION)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CION SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 28% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($76.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.94-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.59-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$6.49+9.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$7.11-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CION Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CION faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.04) or 200D SMA ($7.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.08) toward Bear Floor ($5.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CION• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CION Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$0.46 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CION Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$20.6M	$76.8M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$33.9M	$88.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$95.3M	-$97.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CION)

✓Walkthrough of CION's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CION // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.38%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $7.10H $7.19L $6.98C $7.11VOL 438.9K

RES: $7.47SUP: $6.29SMA50: $7.04SMA200: $7.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CION Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CION Butterfly Map → + Track CION →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CION today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CION. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CION today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CION)

Financials Rank #646 of 1096 ⚔️ TCPC vs CION Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CION vs. TCPC, SDHY, FINS, RFMZ)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CION Investment Corporation (CION) ranks #646 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #781 by equity capitalization ($349.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CION leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.9% ROIC and — gross margin. FINS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CION at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CION ACTIVE CION Investment Corporation	D+	57/100	—	—	-2.9%	+4.56%	$349.8M	Benchmark Subject
TCPC BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.	D	48/100	—	—	-14.9%	+1.69%	$354.1M	/tcpc-vs-cion →
SDHY PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+1.32%	$379.7M	/sdhy-vs-cion →
FINS Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.10%	$299.0M	/fins-vs-cion →
RFMZ RiverNorth Flexible Municipal Income Fund II Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	—	+0.92%	$295.4M	/rfmz-vs-cion →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534254

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CION Investment Corporation (CION) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$20.6M, operating cash flow of $76.8M, and free cash flow of $76.8M (-12.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CION closed FY2025 with $1.85B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$20.6M	$76.8M	$76.8M	$1.85B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$33.9M	$88.2M	$88.2M	$1.95B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$95.3M	-$97.2M	-$97.2M	—	—

3. CION Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CION Investment Corporation (NYSE: CION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.11 (+4.56% 1D, market cap $349.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CION ranks #646 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CION compare to TCPC and SDHY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), CION carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, TCPC (BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $354.1M) and SDHY (PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $379.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CION leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CION leads on capital efficiency (-2.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CION?

Per CION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534254), CION Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$20.6M in net income, and $76.8M in free cash flow against $1.85B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CION trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CION last traded at $7.11 (+4.56% on volume of 405,754 shares), positioning the stock +0.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.04) and -1.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.24). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $10.40, CION sits at the 28.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($6.65 to $7.57).

CION Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CION's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, CION Investment Corporation (CION)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CION stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.4% event move for CION, spanning a range between $6.65 and $7.57.

Direct Sub-Reports: CION RQD Cockpit CION 12M Forecast CION Earnings & Move CION Dividends & DRIP CION Insiders & 13F CION Whale Options CION Profit Sankey CION News & Why