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CION Investment Corporation (CION) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.11 +4.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.15

CION Investment Corporation (CION) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $349.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.15 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CION)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CION SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 28% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($76.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.94-5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$6.59-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$6.49+9.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$7.11-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CION Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CION faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.04) or 200D SMA ($7.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.08) toward Bear Floor ($5.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CION• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CION Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

55.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE28% OF RANGE

L: $6$7.11H: $10

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CION

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

-2.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 21.96% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CION

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CION)

✓Walkthrough of CION's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CION // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.38%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-10-30O $7.10H $7.19L $6.98C $7.11VOL 438.9K

RES: $7.47SUP: $6.29SMA50: $7.04SMA200: $7.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CION Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CION Butterfly Map → + Track CION →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CION today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CION. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CION today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CION)

Financials Rank #646 of 1096 ⚔️ TCPC vs CION Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CION vs. TCPC, SDHY, FINS, RFMZ)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CION Investment Corporation (CION) ranks #646 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #781 by equity capitalization ($349.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CION leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.9% ROIC and — gross margin. FINS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with CION at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CION ACTIVE CION Investment Corporation	D+	57/100	—	—	-2.9%	+4.56%	$349.8M	Benchmark Subject
TCPC BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.	D	48/100	—	—	-14.9%	+1.69%	$354.1M	/tcpc-vs-cion →
SDHY PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+1.32%	$379.7M	/sdhy-vs-cion →
FINS Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust of	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.10%	$299.0M	/fins-vs-cion →
RFMZ RiverNorth Flexible Municipal Income Fund II Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	—	+0.92%	$295.4M	/rfmz-vs-cion →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534254

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CION Investment Corporation (CION) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$20.6M, operating cash flow of $76.8M, and free cash flow of $76.8M (-12.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CION closed FY2025 with $1.85B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$20.6M	$76.8M	$76.8M	$1.85B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$33.9M	$88.2M	$88.2M	$1.95B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$95.3M	-$97.2M	-$97.2M	—	—

3. CION Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CION stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, CION Investment Corporation (NYSE: CION) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.11 (+4.56% 1D, market cap $349.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CION ranks #646 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CION compare to TCPC and SDHY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), CION carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.9%. By comparison, TCPC (BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.9%, cap $354.1M) and SDHY (PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $379.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CION leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CION leads on capital efficiency (-2.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CION?

Per CION's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534254), CION Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, -$20.6M in net income, and $76.8M in free cash flow against $1.85B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CION trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CION last traded at $7.11 (+4.56% on volume of 405,754 shares), positioning the stock +0.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.04) and -1.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.24). Across its 52-week range of $5.83 to $10.40, CION sits at the 28.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($6.65 to $7.57).

CION Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CION stock right now?

CION Investment Corporation (CION) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CION's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CION's 12-month base price target is $7.08 (range $5.52 to $10.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CION RQD Cockpit CION 12M Forecast CION Earnings & Move CION Dividends & DRIP CION Insiders & 13F CION Whale Options CION Profit Sankey CION News & Why