MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CHRN Stock dropped -8.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$15.62 -8.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.36
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation (CHRN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $2.27B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.36 (-1.68%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHRN SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 9.6% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$18.59-18.9% Next Q
35
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$15.08-2.1% Next Q
32
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$14.77+5.8% Next Q
30
CurrentGrade E$15.62-10.3% Hist 90D α
27
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CHRN Turnaround Squeeze
While CHRN currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.62) and Max Pain ($16.40) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.50.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CHRN Stock dropped -8.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation (CHRN) dropped -8.26% to $15.62, trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($3.5 – $30). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 46% of its 52-week range ($3.5 – $30) with RSI-14 at 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $15.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 9.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CHRN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHRN)
- ✓Walkthrough of CHRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.06%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $14.71H $15.62L $14.16C $15.62VOL 116.6K
RES: $18.72SUP: $11.11SMA50: $18.62SMA200: $16.02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CHRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -15.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHRN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHRN)
Industrials Rank #466 of 485
⚔️ KMT vs CHRN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CHRN vs. KMT, OUST, NN, HSAI)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ChronoScale Holdings Corporation (CHRN) ranks #466 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #201 by equity capitalization ($2.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KMT leads on earnings valuation at 23.4x trailing P/E, while KMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.5% ROIC and 30.4% gross margin. KMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CHRN at 27/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRN
ACTIVE
ChronoScale Holdings Corporation | E | 27/100 | — | 9.6% | -9.3% | -8.26% | $2.27B | Benchmark Subject |
| KMT Kennametal Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 23.4x | 30.4% | 9.5% | +1.41% | $2.31B | /kmt-vs-chrn → |
| OUST Ouster Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 49.3% | -30.1% | -4.37% | $2.32B | /oust-vs-chrn → |
| NN NextNav Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.59% | $2.04B | /nn-vs-chrn → |
| HSAI Hesai Group | D- | 40/100 | 32.7x | 41.8% | 1.8% | -6.22% | $2.04B | /hsai-vs-chrn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0001549084In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), ChronoScale Holdings Corporation (CHRN) reported GAAP revenue of $71.6M (-15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $84.4M ) , GAAP net income of -$11.7M, operating cash flow of -$11.8M, and free cash flow of -$12.0M (-21.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHRN closed FY2025 with $20.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-05-31 | $71.6M | -$11.7M | -$11.8M | -$12.0M | $20.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-05-31 | $84.4M | -$11.3M | -$9.8M | -$9.9M | $26.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$15.2M | -$12.1M | -$12.1M | — | — |
3. CHRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CHRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ChronoScale Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ: CHRN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $15.62 (-8.26% 1D, market cap $2.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CHRN ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CHRN compare to KMT and OUST in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CHRN carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.6%, and ROIC of -9.3%. By comparison, KMT (Kennametal Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.4x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $2.31B) and OUST (Ouster Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.1%, cap $2.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KMT leads on earnings multiple (23.4x) while KMT leads on capital efficiency (9.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHRN?
Per CHRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001549084), ChronoScale Holdings Corporation generated $71.6M in revenue (-15.1% YoY), -$11.7M in net income, and -$12.0M in free cash flow against $20.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CHRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CHRN last traded at $15.62 (-8.26% on volume of 180,491 shares), positioning the stock -16.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.62) and -2.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.02). Across its 52-week range of $3.50 to $30.00, CHRN sits at the 45.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($13.67 to $17.57).
CHRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CHRN stock moving today?
Why CHRN Stock dropped -8.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.