MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CHCO Stock advanced +1.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$143.80 +1.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $144.41
City Holding Company (CHCO) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $2.02B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $144.42 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CHCO SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 85% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$139.97+1.2% Next Q
65
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$141.69+0.2% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$142.01+1.3% Next Q
70
CurrentGrade B$143.80+7.1% Hist 90D α
73
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHCO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, CHCO faces multiple-compression risk if 15.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($142.29) or 200D SMA ($131.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($153.51) toward Bear Floor ($117.92).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CHCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CHCO Stock advanced +1.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
City Holding Company (CHCO) advanced +1.03% to $143.80, trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($113.21 – $148.99). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($113.21 – $148.99) with RSI-14 at 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.7% around $143.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $128.4M annual free cash flow.
Live CHCO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CHCO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.95%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $144.8H $145.2L $142.1C $143.8VOL 165.0K
RES: $146.1SUP: $139.8SMA50: $142.3SMA200: $131.5
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CHCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
7.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHCO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHCO)
Financials Rank #76 of 1096
⚔️ FCF vs CHCO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHCO vs. FCF, TBBK, HTH, SRCE)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, City Holding Company (CHCO) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #426 by equity capitalization ($2.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TBBK leads on earnings valuation at 9.0x trailing P/E, while TBBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. TBBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with CHCO at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCO
ACTIVE
City Holding Company | B | 73/100 | 15.5x | — | 16.1% | +1.03% | $2.02B | Benchmark Subject |
| FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corporation | C | 65/100 | 13.4x | — | 9.8% | +0.91% | $2.04B | /fcf-vs-chco → |
| TBBK The Bancorp Inc | B | 75/100 | 9.0x | — | 33.1% | +0.20% | $2.06B | /tbbk-vs-chco → |
| HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. | D- | 40/100 | 12.7x | — | 7.7% | +1.58% | $2.12B | /hth-vs-chco → |
| SRCE 1st Source Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | +0.97% | $2.13B | /srce-vs-chco → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000726854In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), City Holding Company (CHCO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $130.5M, operating cash flow of $131.4M, and free cash flow of $128.4M (-0.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHCO closed FY2025 with $6.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $130.5M | $131.4M | $128.4M | $6.72B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $117.1M | $131.9M | $129.2M | $6.46B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $114.4M | $137.6M | $137.6M | — | — |
3. CHCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CHCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, City Holding Company (NASDAQ: CHCO) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $143.80 (+1.03% 1D, market cap $2.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHCO ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CHCO compare to FCF and TBBK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CHCO carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, FCF (First Commonwealth Financial Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.04B) and TBBK (The Bancorp Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.0x, ROIC 33.1%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBBK leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while TBBK leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCO?
Per CHCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000726854), City Holding Company generated $0 in revenue, $130.5M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $6.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CHCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CHCO last traded at $143.80 (+1.03% on volume of 166,447 shares), positioning the stock +1.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($142.29) and +9.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($131.52). Across its 52-week range of $113.21 to $148.99, CHCO sits at the 85.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($138.48 to $149.12).
CHCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CHCO stock moving today?
Why CHCO Stock advanced +1.03% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.