Stock Ratings / Financials / CHCO / earnings

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City Holding Company (CHCO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.7% Move

$143.80 +1.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $144.41

City Holding Company (CHCO) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $144.42 (+0.43%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CHCO SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 85% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$139.97+1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$141.69+0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$142.01+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade B$143.80+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CHCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, CHCO faces multiple-compression risk if 15.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($142.29) or 200D SMA ($131.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($153.51) toward Bear Floor ($117.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CHCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.7% Swing Band

±$5.32 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CHCO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $9.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$130.5M	$128.4M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$117.1M	$129.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$114.4M	$137.6M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CHCO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CHCO
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CHCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.95%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $144.8H $145.2L $142.1C $143.8VOL 165.0K

RES: $146.1SUP: $139.8SMA50: $142.3SMA200: $131.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CHCO Butterfly Map → + Track CHCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHCO)

Financials Rank #76 of 1096 ⚔️ FCF vs CHCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CHCO vs. FCF, TBBK, HTH, SRCE)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, City Holding Company (CHCO) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #426 by equity capitalization ($2.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TBBK leads on earnings valuation at 9.0x trailing P/E, while TBBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. TBBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with CHCO at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CHCO ACTIVE City Holding Company	B	73/100	15.5x	—	16.1%	+1.03%	$2.02B	Benchmark Subject
FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corporation	C	65/100	13.4x	—	9.8%	+0.91%	$2.04B	/fcf-vs-chco →
TBBK The Bancorp Inc	B	75/100	9.0x	—	33.1%	+0.20%	$2.06B	/tbbk-vs-chco →
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc.	D-	40/100	12.7x	—	7.7%	+1.58%	$2.12B	/hth-vs-chco →
SRCE 1st Source Corporation	D+	56/100	—	—	—	+0.97%	$2.13B	/srce-vs-chco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000726854

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), City Holding Company (CHCO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $130.5M, operating cash flow of $131.4M, and free cash flow of $128.4M (-0.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHCO closed FY2025 with $6.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$130.5M	$131.4M	$128.4M	$6.72B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$117.1M	$131.9M	$129.2M	$6.46B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$114.4M	$137.6M	$137.6M	—	—

3. CHCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, City Holding Company (NASDAQ: CHCO) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $143.80 (+1.03% 1D, market cap $2.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CHCO ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHCO compare to FCF and TBBK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), CHCO carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.1%. By comparison, FCF (First Commonwealth Financial Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 13.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.04B) and TBBK (The Bancorp Inc) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.0x, ROIC 33.1%, cap $2.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBBK leads on earnings multiple (9.0x) while TBBK leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHCO?

Per CHCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000726854), City Holding Company generated $0 in revenue, $130.5M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $6.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHCO last traded at $143.80 (+1.03% on volume of 166,447 shares), positioning the stock +1.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($142.29) and +9.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($131.52). Across its 52-week range of $113.21 to $148.99, CHCO sits at the 85.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($138.48 to $149.12).

CHCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CHCO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, City Holding Company (CHCO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CHCO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.7% event move for CHCO, spanning a range between $138.48 and $149.12.

Direct Sub-Reports: CHCO RQD Cockpit CHCO 12M Forecast CHCO Earnings & Move CHCO Dividends & DRIP CHCO Insiders & 13F CHCO Whale Options CHCO Profit Sankey CHCO News & Why