Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.81 +2.27% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $743.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C
Cash (3)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$14 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CGBD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CGBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.1%
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CGBD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CGBD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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CGBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.85%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $10.79H $10.81L $10.65C $10.81VOL 461.3K
RES: $12.78SUP: $10.01SMA50: $11.00SMA200: $11.15
$12.65$11.91$11.18$10.45$9.71RES $12.78SUP $10.01$10.812026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CGBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CGBD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CGBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CGBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CGBD)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CGBD vs. BUR, GDOT, LU, BTGO)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) ranks #852 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #614 by equity capitalization ($743.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CGBD leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while GDOT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. GDOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CGBD at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CGBD ACTIVE
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc.
D 50/100 10.6x β€” 6.0% +2.27% $743.8M Benchmark Subject
BUR
Burford Capital Limited
D 46/100 12.2x β€” 9.7% +3.25% $763.7M /bur-vs-cgbd β†’
GDOT
Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A)
C 65/100 β€” β€” 30.6% +1.06% $706.0M /gdot-vs-cgbd β†’
LU
Lufax Holding Ltd (each representing twenty (20) )
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” -2.94% $687.3M /lu-vs-cgbd β†’
BTGO
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.17% $680.6M /btgo-vs-cgbd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001544206

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $70.0M, operating cash flow of -$204.6M, and free cash flow of -$204.6M (-296.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CGBD closed FY2025 with $2.79B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $70.0M -$204.6M -$204.6M $2.79B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $89.0M $104.3M $104.3M $1.93B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $92.3M $230.6M $230.6M β€” β€”

3. CGBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CGBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (NASDAQ: CGBD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $10.81 (+2.27% 1D, market cap $743.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CGBD ranks #852 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CGBD compare to BUR and GDOT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CGBD carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, BUR (Burford Capital Limited) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $763.7M) and GDOT (Green Dot Corporation $0.001 par value (Class A)) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 30.6%, cap $706.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CGBD leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while GDOT leads on capital efficiency (30.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CGBD?

Per CGBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001544206), Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $70.0M in net income, and -$204.6M in free cash flow against $2.79B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CGBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CGBD last traded at $10.81 (+2.27% on volume of 344,533 shares), positioning the stock -1.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.00) and -3.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.15). Across its 52-week range of $9.95 to $13.28, CGBD sits at the 25.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.1% ($10.26 to $11.36).

CGBD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does CGBD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Carlyle Secured Lending Inc. (CGBD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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